MEDP

Medpace Holdings Inc. Healthcare - Clinical Research Investor Relations →

NO
73.5% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 87.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $312.45
14-Week RSI 38

Medpace Holdings Inc. (MEDP) closed at $542.04 as of 2026-02-02, trading 73.5% above its 200-week moving average of $312.45. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 87.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 447 weeks of data, MEDP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time. On average, these episodes lasted 2 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MEDP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +70.0%.

With a market cap of $15.3 billion, MEDP is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.4%. Return on equity stands at 73.7%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 52.8x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.9% over the past three years. MEDP passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.

Over the past 8.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MEDP would have grown to $1714, compared to $320 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 38.8% vs 14.4% for the index — confirming MEDP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 34.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: MEDP vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After MEDP Crosses Below the Line?

Across 1 historical episodes, buying MEDP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +88.0% after 12 months (median +88.0%), compared to +16.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +142.0% vs +25.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MEDP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

MEDP has crossed below its 200-week MA 1 time with an average 1-year return of +70.0% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jul 2017Jul 2017210.8%+70.0%+1820.1%
Average2+70.0%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02