MEDP
Medpace Holdings Inc. Healthcare - Clinical Research Investor Relations →
Medpace Holdings Inc. (MEDP) closed at $452.51 as of 2026-03-20, trading 40.6% above its 200-week moving average of $321.72. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 40.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.82 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 453 weeks of data, MEDP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time. On average, these episodes lasted 2 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MEDP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +70.0%.
With a market cap of $12.8 billion, MEDP is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.7%. Return on equity stands at 70.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 28.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.8% over the past three years. MEDP passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 8.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MEDP would have grown to $1431, compared to $302 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 35.5% vs 13.4% for the index — confirming MEDP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 24.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MEDP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MEDP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 1 historical episodes, buying MEDP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +88.0% after 12 months (median +88.0%), compared to +16.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +142.0% vs +25.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MEDP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MEDP has crossed below its 200-week MA 1 time with an average 1-year return of +70.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2017 | Jul 2017 | 2 | 10.8% | +70.0% | +1502.9% |
| Average | 2 | — | +70.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MEDP below its 200-week moving average?
No. Medpace Holdings Inc. (MEDP) is currently 40.6% above its 200-week moving average of $321.72. It would need to fall to $321.72 to cross below the line.
What is MEDP's 200-week moving average price?
Medpace Holdings Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $321.72 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MEDP drops below its 200-week moving average?
MEDP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +70.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 2 weeks on average.
Is MEDP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MEDP as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 33. Free cash flow yield is 3.7%. Return on equity is 70.2%. Price-to-book is 28.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MEDP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 8.8 years, $100 invested in MEDP would have grown to $1431, compared to $302 for the S&P 500. That's 35.5% annualized vs 13.4% for the index. MEDP has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20