MDU
MDU Resources Group, Inc. Utilities - Utilities - Regulated Gas Investor Relations →
MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) closed at $19.95 as of 2026-07-31, trading 37.0% above its 200-week moving average of $14.56. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 46.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 37, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.06 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2740 weeks of data, MDU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MDU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.2%.
With a market cap of $4.2 billion, MDU is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 6.7%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MDU would have grown to $3044, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. MDU has returned 10.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MDU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MDU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying MDU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.1% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +11.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +49.2% vs +30.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MDU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. MDU currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from MDU's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
MDU has crossed below its 200-week MA 34 times with an average 1-year return of +21.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1974 | Feb 1974 | 2 | 2.2% | -9.1% | +14988.6% |
| Mar 1974 | Jan 1976 | 96 | 28.1% | -16.4% | +15230.0% |
| Mar 1976 | Apr 1976 | 5 | 3.3% | +42.4% | +17009.4% |
| May 1979 | Jun 1979 | 3 | 3.6% | +24.0% | +14754.7% |
| Oct 1979 | Oct 1979 | 2 | 2.9% | +22.4% | +14200.4% |
| Mar 1980 | Mar 1980 | 1 | 4.2% | +24.3% | +13990.1% |
| Apr 1981 | May 1981 | 4 | 5.0% | +10.3% | +13025.0% |
| Jun 1981 | Aug 1981 | 9 | 6.8% | +6.3% | +13394.7% |
| Aug 1981 | Oct 1981 | 6 | 9.5% | +22.5% | +13394.7% |
| Oct 1981 | Nov 1981 | 3 | 3.4% | +31.0% | +13115.5% |
| Dec 1981 | Feb 1982 | 8 | 3.7% | +25.7% | +13207.3% |
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 1 | 2.3% | +52.7% | +13025.0% |
| May 1982 | May 1982 | 1 | 0.4% | +43.3% | +12675.0% |
| Dec 1987 | Jan 1988 | 5 | 3.1% | +7.1% | +6082.2% |
| Mar 1988 | Apr 1988 | 2 | 1.0% | +7.0% | +5996.9% |
| Apr 1988 | May 1988 | 5 | 2.0% | +8.5% | +5955.2% |
| Jun 1988 | Jul 1988 | 1 | 1.2% | +24.0% | +5888.7% |
| Sep 1988 | Oct 1988 | 3 | 1.5% | +19.4% | +5777.5% |
| Dec 1988 | Dec 1988 | 1 | 1.2% | +30.5% | +5670.5% |
| Feb 1989 | Mar 1989 | 6 | 1.9% | +20.5% | +5515.6% |
| Apr 1989 | May 1989 | 4 | 1.4% | +23.6% | +5559.8% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 3 | 3.1% | +62.0% | +1303.9% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 2 | 2.0% | -3.5% | +923.6% |
| Jul 2002 | Oct 2002 | 15 | 18.8% | +53.0% | +938.1% |
| Nov 2002 | Dec 2002 | 4 | 2.2% | +43.1% | +865.6% |
| Oct 2008 | Dec 2009 | 61 | 45.0% | +16.9% | +383.4% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2011 | 59 | 22.0% | -5.6% | +272.5% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 11 | 8.1% | +15.9% | +314.4% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 3 | 4.3% | +0.2% | +296.2% |
| Dec 2014 | Jun 2016 | 79 | 31.9% | -22.8% | +216.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 27.1% | +39.5% | +170.2% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 3 | 1.8% | +22.1% | +134.9% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 0.4% | +18.0% | +131.2% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 0.0% | +60.9% | +111.9% |
| Average | 13 | — | +21.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MDU below its 200-week moving average?
No. MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) is currently 37.0% above its 200-week moving average of $14.56. It would need to fall to $14.56 to cross below the line.
What is MDU's 200-week moving average price?
MDU Resources Group, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $14.56 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MDU drops below its 200-week moving average?
MDU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +21.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is MDU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MDU as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 37. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 6.7%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MDU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in MDU would have grown to $3044, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 10.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. MDU has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MDU pay a dividend?
Yes. MDU Resources Group, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 280.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31