MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Auto & Truck Dealerships Investor Relations →
Mister Car Wash, Inc. (MCW) closed at $6.14 as of 2026-02-02, trading 22.7% below its 200-week moving average of $7.94. This places MCW in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -30.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 58, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 193 weeks of data, MCW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time. On average, these episodes lasted 193 weeks.
With a market cap of $2.0 billion, MCW is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 8.8%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Share count has increased 7.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 3.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MCW would have grown to $48, compared to $176 for the S&P 500. MCW has returned -17.5% annualized vs 15.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: MCW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MCW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 1 historical episodes, buying MCW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -34.0% after 12 months (median -34.0%), compared to +3.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -45.0% vs +32.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MCW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MCW has crossed below its 200-week MA 1 time
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2022 | Ongoing | 193+ | 57.7% | Ongoing | -52.3% |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02