MCRI
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Resorts & Casinos Investor Relations →
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) closed at $96.50 as of 2026-03-20, trading 30.0% above its 200-week moving average of $74.25. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 35.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 47, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.2x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 1654 weeks of data, MCRI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MCRI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +44.2%.
With a market cap of $1726 million, MCRI is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.6%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 19.2%, a solid level. The stock trades at 3.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.7% over the past three years. MCRI passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 31.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MCRI would have grown to $2820, compared to $2474 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.1% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming MCRI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 8.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MCRI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MCRI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying MCRI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +39.6% after 12 months (median +35.0%), compared to +2.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 76% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +96.8% vs +9.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MCRI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MCRI has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +44.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1994 | Aug 1997 | 161 | 63.5% | -36.4% | +2516.5% |
| Aug 1997 | Sep 1997 | 1 | 0.3% | +14.3% | +4011.7% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 5 | 7.5% | +10.3% | +4328.0% |
| Mar 2000 | May 2000 | 9 | 32.3% | +35.7% | +6067.6% |
| Jun 2000 | Jun 2000 | 1 | 4.8% | +8.0% | +4217.3% |
| Jul 2000 | Aug 2000 | 4 | 5.1% | +7.6% | +4011.7% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 1 | 4.9% | +15.7% | +4061.2% |
| Dec 2000 | Aug 2001 | 35 | 18.3% | +52.2% | +4112.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 12.6% | +150.0% | +4132.6% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2012 | 208 | 81.8% | -42.9% | +435.4% |
| Mar 2012 | Mar 2012 | 1 | 0.9% | -2.9% | +991.3% |
| Apr 2012 | Dec 2012 | 33 | 23.3% | +47.0% | +1069.4% |
| Feb 2013 | Apr 2013 | 7 | 2.3% | +96.1% | +1023.1% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 3 | 2.9% | +51.1% | +776.1% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 2 | 9.8% | +58.5% | +853.5% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 11 | 58.8% | +188.2% | +349.9% |
| Jun 2020 | Aug 2020 | 8 | 17.6% | +98.6% | +199.8% |
| Average | 29 | — | +44.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MCRI below its 200-week moving average?
No. Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) is currently 30.0% above its 200-week moving average of $74.25. It would need to fall to $74.25 to cross below the line.
What is MCRI's 200-week moving average price?
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $74.25 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MCRI drops below its 200-week moving average?
MCRI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +44.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 29 weeks on average.
Is MCRI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MCRI as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 47. Free cash flow yield is 6.6%. Return on equity is 19.2%. Price-to-book is 3.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MCRI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 31.8 years, $100 invested in MCRI would have grown to $2820, compared to $2474 for the S&P 500. That's 11.1% annualized vs 10.6% for the index. MCRI has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MCRI pay a dividend?
Yes. Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 124.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20