MCHP
Microchip Technology Incorporated Technology - Semiconductors Investor Relations →
Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) closed at $76.01 as of 2026-02-02, trading 9.6% above its 200-week moving average of $69.37. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 9.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 67, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1668 weeks of data, MCHP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 7 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MCHP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +47.0%.
With a market cap of $41.1 billion, MCHP is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.4%. Return on equity stands at -1.1%. The stock trades at 6.3x book value.
Over the past 32.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MCHP would have grown to $7403, compared to $2608 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.4% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming MCHP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -32.2% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: MCHP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MCHP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 28 historical episodes, buying MCHP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +46.8% after 12 months (median +34.0%), compared to +13.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 74% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +84.4% vs +29.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MCHP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MCHP has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +47.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1996 | Apr 1996 | 1 | 0.9% | +97.3% | +6051.1% |
| Jun 1996 | Jun 1996 | 2 | 5.6% | +97.7% | +6330.7% |
| Jul 1996 | Jul 1996 | 1 | 4.6% | +134.3% | +6258.4% |
| Jan 1998 | Feb 1998 | 3 | 10.5% | +60.6% | +4211.6% |
| Feb 1998 | Apr 1998 | 7 | 13.3% | +12.7% | +3799.4% |
| May 1998 | Jun 1998 | 4 | 18.4% | +79.1% | +3749.7% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 9 | 25.8% | +101.2% | +3527.6% |
| Feb 1999 | Mar 1999 | 1 | 1.8% | +181.1% | +3361.2% |
| Dec 2000 | Dec 2000 | 1 | 6.3% | +99.8% | +1982.9% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 5 | 17.0% | +38.3% | +1323.6% |
| Jan 2003 | Jan 2003 | 1 | 0.0% | +40.4% | +1182.1% |
| Mar 2003 | May 2003 | 11 | 18.8% | +27.5% | +1185.1% |
| Jun 2003 | Jun 2003 | 1 | 2.2% | +39.3% | +1160.5% |
| Jan 2005 | Jan 2005 | 3 | 2.6% | +40.2% | +1027.4% |
| Mar 2005 | Apr 2005 | 5 | 4.5% | +43.0% | +980.9% |
| Oct 2007 | Oct 2007 | 1 | 2.2% | -21.0% | +762.8% |
| Nov 2007 | Dec 2007 | 2 | 6.4% | -35.5% | +801.3% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 4 | 7.4% | -31.3% | +761.4% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 2 | 4.4% | -17.9% | +754.2% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2009 | 65 | 42.9% | -4.2% | +740.2% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 7 | 6.6% | +43.1% | +744.5% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 3.3% | +53.2% | +179.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 5 | 25.0% | +113.5% | +142.8% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 1 | 0.3% | +62.4% | +46.9% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 1.8% | +37.7% | +43.3% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 0.7% | -8.4% | +6.6% |
| Oct 2024 | Jun 2025 | 35 | 50.1% | -14.1% | +5.5% |
| Jul 2025 | Jan 2026 | 24 | 27.1% | N/A | +11.6% |
| Average | 7 | — | +47.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02