MC

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NO
24.0% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 30.7% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $52.24
14-Week RSI 41
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.2x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.07

Moelis & Company (MC) closed at $64.76 as of 2026-05-01, trading 24.0% above its 200-week moving average of $52.24. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 30.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 41, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.07 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 580 weeks of data, MC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +33.9%.

With a market cap of $4.8 billion, MC is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 41.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.4x book value.

Share count has increased 14.7% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 11.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MC would have grown to $481, compared to $420 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.1% vs 13.7% for the index — confirming MC as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 171.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: MC vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After MC Crosses Below the Line?

Across 11 historical episodes, buying MC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +41.0% after 12 months (median +41.0%), compared to +21.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 91% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +99.5% vs +44.7% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

MC has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +33.9% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Mar 2015Apr 20165617.7%-1.9%+378.9%
May 2016Nov 20162717.0%+50.1%+392.1%
May 2019Jun 201933.7%+13.7%+218.6%
Aug 2019Sep 201954.0%+1.3%+206.4%
Sep 2019Oct 201958.6%+8.0%+206.3%
Nov 2019Jan 202088.1%+22.3%+196.3%
Feb 2020Jun 20201425.4%+75.4%+197.4%
Jun 2020Sep 20201514.1%+74.6%+175.9%
Sep 2022Oct 202249.9%+35.2%+118.2%
Mar 2023Mar 202310.9%+55.8%+96.4%
Apr 2023May 202349.2%+38.7%+95.7%
Average13+33.9%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is MC below its 200-week moving average?

No. Moelis & Company (MC) is currently 24.0% above its 200-week moving average of $52.24. It would need to fall to $52.24 to cross below the line.

What is MC's 200-week moving average price?

Moelis & Company's 200-week moving average is $52.24 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when MC drops below its 200-week moving average?

MC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +33.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.

Is MC a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about MC as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 41. Return on equity is 41.8%. Price-to-book is 8.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does MC compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 11.2 years, $100 invested in MC would have grown to $481, compared to $420 for the S&P 500. That's 15.1% annualized vs 13.7% for the index. MC has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does MC pay a dividend?

Yes. Moelis & Company currently pays a dividend yield of 401.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-05-01