MC
Moelis & Company Financial Services - Capital Markets Investor Relations →
Moelis & Company (MC) closed at $73.25 as of 2026-02-02, trading 42.8% above its 200-week moving average of $51.28. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 40.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 72, MC is in overbought territory.
Over the past 568 weeks of data, MC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +33.9%.
With a market cap of $5.4 billion, MC is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 47.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 10.1x book value.
Share count has increased 12.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 11 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MC would have grown to $539, compared to $403 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.5% vs 13.5% for the index — confirming MC as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: MC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying MC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +41.0% after 12 months (median +41.0%), compared to +21.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 91% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +99.5% vs +44.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MC has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +33.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2015 | Apr 2016 | 56 | 17.7% | -1.9% | +436.3% |
| May 2016 | Nov 2016 | 27 | 17.0% | +50.1% | +451.2% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 3 | 3.7% | +13.7% | +256.8% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 5 | 4.0% | +1.3% | +243.1% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 5 | 8.6% | +8.0% | +243.1% |
| Nov 2019 | Jan 2020 | 8 | 8.1% | +22.3% | +231.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Jun 2020 | 14 | 25.4% | +75.4% | +233.1% |
| Jun 2020 | Sep 2020 | 15 | 14.1% | +74.6% | +209.0% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 9.9% | +35.2% | +144.3% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 0.9% | +55.8% | +119.9% |
| Apr 2023 | May 2023 | 4 | 9.2% | +38.7% | +119.2% |
| Average | 13 | — | +33.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02