MC
Moelis & Company Financial Services - Capital Markets Investor Relations →
Moelis & Company (MC) closed at $53.98 as of 2026-03-20, trading 5.0% above its 200-week moving average of $51.42. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 0.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 30, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.8x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 574 weeks of data, MC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +33.9%.
With a market cap of $4.0 billion, MC is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 44.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 7.0x book value.
Share count has increased 14.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 11.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MC would have grown to $401, compared to $379 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.4% vs 12.8% for the index — confirming MC as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 171.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying MC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +41.0% after 12 months (median +41.0%), compared to +21.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 91% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +99.5% vs +44.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MC has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +33.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2015 | Apr 2016 | 56 | 17.7% | -1.9% | +299.2% |
| May 2016 | Nov 2016 | 27 | 17.0% | +50.1% | +310.2% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 3 | 3.7% | +13.7% | +165.6% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 5 | 4.0% | +1.3% | +155.4% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 5 | 8.6% | +8.0% | +155.3% |
| Nov 2019 | Jan 2020 | 8 | 8.1% | +22.3% | +147.0% |
| Feb 2020 | Jun 2020 | 14 | 25.4% | +75.4% | +147.9% |
| Jun 2020 | Sep 2020 | 15 | 14.1% | +74.6% | +129.9% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 9.9% | +35.2% | +81.9% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 0.9% | +55.8% | +63.7% |
| Apr 2023 | May 2023 | 4 | 9.2% | +38.7% | +63.1% |
| Average | 13 | — | +33.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MC below its 200-week moving average?
No. Moelis & Company (MC) is currently 5.0% above its 200-week moving average of $51.42. It would need to fall to $51.42 to cross below the line.
What is MC's 200-week moving average price?
Moelis & Company's 200-week moving average is $51.42 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MC drops below its 200-week moving average?
MC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +33.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is MC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MC as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 30. Return on equity is 44.8%. Price-to-book is 7.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 11.1 years, $100 invested in MC would have grown to $401, compared to $379 for the S&P 500. That's 13.4% annualized vs 12.8% for the index. MC has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MC pay a dividend?
Yes. Moelis & Company currently pays a dividend yield of 482.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20