MATX
Matson, Inc. Industrials - Marine Shipping Investor Relations →
Matson, Inc. (MATX) closed at $191.24 as of 2026-06-19, trading 75.8% above its 200-week moving average of $108.76. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 86.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 77, MATX is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.18 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2724 weeks of data, MATX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 45 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MATX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.1%.
With a market cap of $5.8 billion, MATX is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.1%. Return on equity stands at 16.0%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 16.3% over the past three years. MATX passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MATX would have grown to $4116, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.7% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming MATX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -47.5% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MATX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MATX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 28 historical episodes, buying MATX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.8% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +6.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 74% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.3% vs +21.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MATX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices MATX would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where MATX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-30.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $163.36 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $178.51 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $196.76 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $219.17 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $247.33 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from MATX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
MATX has crossed below its 200-week MA 45 times with an average 1-year return of +15.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1974 | Apr 1974 | 1 | 1.4% | +68.7% | +47259.6% |
| May 1974 | Jul 1974 | 9 | 8.2% | +50.0% | +47259.6% |
| Jul 1976 | Jan 1977 | 29 | 18.4% | +2.2% | +39190.9% |
| Feb 1977 | Feb 1977 | 1 | 3.4% | +2.3% | +40083.9% |
| Jun 1977 | Aug 1977 | 5 | 5.1% | +9.0% | +39781.7% |
| Aug 1977 | Sep 1977 | 2 | 2.1% | +17.9% | +37787.6% |
| Sep 1977 | Nov 1977 | 7 | 5.2% | +7.1% | +37787.6% |
| Jan 1978 | May 1978 | 20 | 8.0% | +7.2% | +38336.7% |
| Jun 1978 | Jul 1978 | 4 | 2.8% | +45.5% | +36481.2% |
| Oct 1978 | Dec 1978 | 9 | 11.1% | +43.4% | +36481.2% |
| Feb 1979 | Mar 1979 | 1 | 0.9% | +81.8% | +36992.8% |
| Sep 1981 | Sep 1981 | 2 | 9.9% | +7.0% | +24686.3% |
| Oct 1981 | Sep 1982 | 48 | 23.5% | +26.9% | +26289.4% |
| Mar 1990 | Mar 1990 | 1 | 0.3% | -9.8% | +3583.3% |
| Apr 1990 | Apr 1990 | 1 | 1.7% | +0.9% | +3615.3% |
| Apr 1990 | May 1990 | 2 | 1.3% | -6.3% | +3583.3% |
| Jul 1990 | Mar 1992 | 88 | 34.2% | -15.2% | +3619.7% |
| Mar 1992 | Apr 1993 | 57 | 19.7% | -13.0% | +3522.9% |
| Jul 1993 | Aug 1993 | 2 | 1.2% | +7.9% | +3817.6% |
| Aug 1993 | Nov 1993 | 12 | 4.5% | +10.3% | +3948.1% |
| Oct 1994 | Mar 1995 | 18 | 10.4% | +6.2% | +3996.9% |
| Mar 1995 | May 1995 | 6 | 5.2% | +8.9% | +3872.4% |
| Jun 1995 | Jul 1995 | 2 | 3.5% | +12.5% | +3947.3% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 3 | 0.9% | +12.9% | +3822.1% |
| Aug 1998 | Jun 1999 | 47 | 19.6% | +16.9% | +3411.3% |
| Oct 1999 | Oct 1999 | 1 | 0.7% | +14.0% | +3239.1% |
| Nov 1999 | May 2000 | 26 | 19.2% | +25.3% | +3225.0% |
| Jun 2000 | Jul 2000 | 2 | 2.5% | +10.9% | +3261.6% |
| Mar 2001 | May 2001 | 9 | 8.1% | +24.3% | +3122.3% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 3 | 2.1% | +4.7% | +3175.1% |
| Oct 2001 | Oct 2001 | 1 | 0.3% | +9.5% | +3117.7% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 6 | 3.4% | +34.8% | +3027.6% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 1.8% | -46.0% | +1308.5% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 4 | 3.8% | -61.1% | +1290.4% |
| Jun 2008 | Aug 2008 | 5 | 5.7% | -43.5% | +1248.6% |
| Aug 2008 | Sep 2008 | 2 | 3.4% | -31.9% | +1226.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2010 | 110 | 62.3% | -22.3% | +1234.4% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 1.9% | +44.7% | +1480.5% |
| Mar 2017 | Jan 2018 | 47 | 30.6% | -4.9% | +594.7% |
| Feb 2018 | May 2018 | 11 | 15.5% | +19.8% | +637.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 2.2% | +18.5% | +544.4% |
| Dec 2018 | Feb 2019 | 8 | 9.0% | +33.7% | +589.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Jul 2020 | 18 | 23.9% | +132.8% | +547.5% |
| Apr 2023 | Apr 2023 | 1 | 4.3% | +98.9% | +249.8% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 3 | 10.2% | N/A | +118.8% |
| Average | 14 | — | +15.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MATX below its 200-week moving average?
No. Matson, Inc. (MATX) is currently 75.8% above its 200-week moving average of $108.76. It would need to fall to $108.76 to cross below the line.
What is MATX's 200-week moving average price?
Matson, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $108.76 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MATX drops below its 200-week moving average?
MATX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 45 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +15.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is MATX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MATX as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 77 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 4.1%. Return on equity is 16.0%. Price-to-book is 2.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MATX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in MATX would have grown to $4116, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 11.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. MATX has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MATX pay a dividend?
Yes. Matson, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 73.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19