MAS
Masco Corporation Industrials - Building Products & Equipment Investor Relations →
Masco Corporation (MAS) closed at $74.38 as of 2026-06-19, trading 19.0% above its 200-week moving average of $62.50. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 18.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.00 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, MAS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MAS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.3%.
With a market cap of $15.0 billion, MAS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.9%. Return on equity stands at 8457.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at -62.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.3% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MAS would have grown to $1077, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. MAS has returned 7.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MAS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MAS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 28 historical episodes, buying MAS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +19.6% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +15.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.3% vs +27.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MAS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices MAS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where MAS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $54.01 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $58.39 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $63.54 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $69.69 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $77.16 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from MAS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
MAS has crossed below its 200-week MA 39 times with an average 1-year return of +25.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1982 | Mar 1982 | 4 | 12.3% | +87.6% | +5136.9% |
| Apr 1982 | Apr 1982 | 2 | 1.0% | +99.2% | +5056.9% |
| May 1982 | Jul 1982 | 6 | 6.4% | +90.7% | +5116.7% |
| Jul 1982 | Aug 1982 | 3 | 6.3% | +98.3% | +5304.5% |
| Oct 1987 | Oct 1987 | 1 | 4.0% | +33.3% | +1760.5% |
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 3 | 13.5% | +9.2% | +1680.4% |
| Dec 1987 | Jan 1988 | 1 | 3.6% | +19.4% | +1721.5% |
| Aug 1988 | Aug 1988 | 1 | 1.5% | +17.1% | +1512.4% |
| Nov 1988 | Jan 1989 | 12 | 5.9% | -1.1% | +1441.4% |
| Feb 1989 | May 1989 | 10 | 4.7% | -3.5% | +1404.2% |
| Sep 1989 | May 1991 | 88 | 44.8% | -30.1% | +1341.5% |
| Jun 1991 | Aug 1991 | 9 | 5.6% | +13.7% | +1489.5% |
| Sep 1991 | Dec 1991 | 16 | 12.3% | +15.9% | +1479.9% |
| Oct 1992 | Oct 1992 | 1 | 2.5% | +47.2% | +1475.1% |
| Aug 1994 | Aug 1994 | 2 | 2.7% | +9.0% | +1229.6% |
| Sep 1994 | May 1995 | 32 | 16.9% | +18.1% | +1276.8% |
| Jun 1995 | Jun 1995 | 1 | 4.8% | +23.8% | +1200.3% |
| Jul 1995 | Jul 1995 | 2 | 3.7% | +17.1% | +1179.5% |
| Apr 1996 | Apr 1996 | 1 | 1.6% | +34.9% | +1101.8% |
| Jan 2000 | Dec 2000 | 48 | 33.7% | +1.7% | +566.6% |
| Jan 2001 | Feb 2001 | 7 | 8.9% | +10.2% | +532.5% |
| Mar 2001 | Jun 2001 | 14 | 6.5% | +24.3% | +546.8% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 16 | 25.6% | +1.2% | +506.7% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 3 | 10.6% | +16.9% | +572.4% |
| Sep 2002 | May 2003 | 33 | 21.3% | +23.1% | +580.2% |
| Jul 2006 | Oct 2006 | 14 | 4.2% | +8.3% | +374.3% |
| Oct 2006 | Nov 2006 | 1 | 1.9% | -9.9% | +370.3% |
| Mar 2007 | Apr 2007 | 8 | 5.4% | -31.7% | +349.1% |
| Jun 2007 | May 2011 | 204 | 82.5% | -38.8% | +342.3% |
| May 2011 | Jan 2012 | 32 | 43.3% | -6.8% | +712.1% |
| Oct 2018 | Jan 2019 | 15 | 14.2% | +43.7% | +172.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 20.4% | +96.7% | +181.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 0.7% | +19.2% | +68.4% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 8 | 12.3% | +14.6% | +63.6% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 7 | 6.7% | +32.5% | +60.8% |
| Mar 2023 | Apr 2023 | 7 | 7.3% | +56.5% | +57.4% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 1.0% | +38.8% | +55.4% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 4 | 4.6% | +60.5% | +49.5% |
| Mar 2026 | Apr 2026 | 4 | 4.5% | N/A | +21.5% |
| Average | 16 | — | +25.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Masco Corporation (MAS) is currently 19.0% above its 200-week moving average of $62.50. It would need to fall to $62.50 to cross below the line.
What is MAS's 200-week moving average price?
Masco Corporation's 200-week moving average is $62.50 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MAS drops below its 200-week moving average?
MAS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +25.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is MAS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MAS as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 66. Free cash flow yield is 4.9%. Return on equity is 8457.1%. Price-to-book is -62.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MAS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in MAS would have grown to $1077, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 7.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. MAS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MAS pay a dividend?
Yes. Masco Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 171.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19