MAR
Marriott International Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Hotels Investor Relations →
Marriott International Inc. (MAR) closed at $333.24 as of 2026-02-02, trading 52.3% above its 200-week moving average of $218.77. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 44.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 76, MAR is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1406 weeks of data, MAR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MAR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.8%.
With a market cap of $90.5 billion, MAR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.3%. The stock trades at -28.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 15.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 27 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MAR would have grown to $2653, compared to $863 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.9% vs 8.3% for the index — confirming MAR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 26.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: MAR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MAR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying MAR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.8% after 12 months (median +30.0%), compared to +10.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +53.2% vs +17.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MAR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MAR has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +18.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 5 | 7.4% | +14.4% | +2659.6% |
| Nov 1999 | May 2000 | 27 | 17.9% | +20.6% | +2649.7% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 8 | 16.6% | -4.0% | +2902.3% |
| Jul 2002 | May 2003 | 43 | 24.3% | +9.0% | +2337.1% |
| May 2003 | May 2003 | 1 | 0.2% | +33.8% | +2330.1% |
| Dec 2007 | Mar 2010 | 120 | 63.6% | -46.5% | +1267.6% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 5.8% | +25.7% | +1309.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 9 | 10.1% | +40.7% | +1363.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 35 | 46.7% | +57.1% | +261.4% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 0.6% | +37.0% | +197.1% |
| Average | 25 | — | +18.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02