MAIN
Main Street Capital Corporation Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) closed at $56.20 as of 2026-05-01, trading 30.4% above its 200-week moving average of $43.08. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 25.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.39 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 920 weeks of data, MAIN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MAIN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +38.1%.
With a market cap of $5.1 billion, MAIN is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.8%. Return on equity stands at 17.0%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
Share count has increased 14.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 17.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MAIN would have grown to $2058, compared to $859 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 18.7% vs 12.9% for the index — confirming MAIN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MAIN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MAIN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying MAIN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +61.4% after 12 months (median +45.0%), compared to +27.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +86.0% vs +37.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MAIN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MAIN has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +38.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2009 | 30 | 27.4% | +31.8% | +1909.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2020 | 12 | 48.1% | +47.8% | +219.4% |
| Jun 2020 | Jan 2021 | 30 | 16.2% | +35.0% | +170.6% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 1.4% | +43.8% | +163.8% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 1.6% | +32.0% | +123.4% |
| Average | 15 | — | +38.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAIN below its 200-week moving average?
No. Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) is currently 30.4% above its 200-week moving average of $43.08. It would need to fall to $43.08 to cross below the line.
What is MAIN's 200-week moving average price?
Main Street Capital Corporation's 200-week moving average is $43.08 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MAIN drops below its 200-week moving average?
MAIN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +38.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is MAIN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MAIN as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 33. Free cash flow yield is 4.8%. Return on equity is 17.0%. Price-to-book is 1.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MAIN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 17.7 years, $100 invested in MAIN would have grown to $2058, compared to $859 for the S&P 500. That's 18.7% annualized vs 12.9% for the index. MAIN has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MAIN pay a dividend?
Yes. Main Street Capital Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 555.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01