MAIN
Main Street Capital Corporation Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) closed at $60.31 as of 2026-02-02, trading 43.3% above its 200-week moving average of $42.10. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 51.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 908 weeks of data, MAIN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MAIN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +38.1%.
With a market cap of $5.4 billion, MAIN is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.5%. Return on equity stands at 19.1%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Share count has increased 25.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 17.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MAIN would have grown to $2176, compared to $823 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 19.2% vs 12.8% for the index — confirming MAIN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: MAIN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MAIN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying MAIN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +61.4% after 12 months (median +45.0%), compared to +27.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +86.0% vs +37.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MAIN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MAIN has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +38.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2009 | 30 | 27.4% | +31.8% | +2025.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2020 | 12 | 48.1% | +47.8% | +237.8% |
| Jun 2020 | Jan 2021 | 30 | 16.2% | +35.0% | +186.1% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 1.4% | +43.8% | +179.0% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 1.6% | +32.0% | +136.3% |
| Average | 15 | — | +38.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02