LYB
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Materials - Chemicals Investor Relations →
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) closed at $73.32 as of 2026-03-20, trading 4.9% above its 200-week moving average of $69.89. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 3.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 89, LYB is in overbought territory.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.2x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 781 weeks of data, LYB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LYB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.8%.
With a market cap of $23.6 billion, LYB is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.9%. Return on equity stands at -6.9%. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
Over the past 15 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LYB would have grown to $409, compared to $620 for the S&P 500. LYB has returned 9.8% annualized vs 12.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -55.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LYB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LYB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying LYB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.1% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +16.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 69% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +75.1% vs +44.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LYB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LYB has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +25.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 7.0% | +108.7% | +548.3% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 4 | 18.5% | +118.7% | +533.4% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 5.0% | +115.6% | +529.4% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 3 | 2.7% | +11.5% | +70.9% |
| Jul 2016 | Aug 2016 | 3 | 4.0% | +24.5% | +70.1% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 3 | 1.8% | +25.2% | +66.2% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 0.5% | +40.1% | +61.4% |
| May 2017 | Jun 2017 | 7 | 2.4% | +44.5% | +53.3% |
| Dec 2018 | Feb 2019 | 10 | 8.5% | +17.1% | +39.1% |
| Feb 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 1.9% | -11.7% | +36.5% |
| Mar 2019 | Apr 2019 | 2 | 1.8% | -47.9% | +34.8% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 5 | 13.3% | -28.0% | +38.8% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 6 | 18.7% | -13.3% | +48.7% |
| Jan 2020 | Nov 2020 | 42 | 49.6% | +16.5% | +41.8% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 4.7% | +36.9% | +26.1% |
| Nov 2024 | Mar 2026 | 70 | 42.8% | -45.3% | -2.9% |
| Average | 10 | — | +25.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LYB below its 200-week moving average?
No. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) is currently 4.9% above its 200-week moving average of $69.89. It would need to fall to $69.89 to cross below the line.
What is LYB's 200-week moving average price?
LyondellBasell Industries N.V.'s 200-week moving average is $69.89 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LYB drops below its 200-week moving average?
LYB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +25.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 10 weeks on average.
Is LYB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LYB as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 89 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 1.9%. Return on equity is -6.9%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LYB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 15 years, $100 invested in LYB would have grown to $409, compared to $620 for the S&P 500. That's 9.8% annualized vs 12.9% for the index. LYB has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LYB pay a dividend?
Yes. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. currently pays a dividend yield of 655.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20