LYB
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Materials - Chemicals Investor Relations →
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) closed at $55.10 as of 2026-02-02, trading 22.6% below its 200-week moving average of $71.23. This places LYB in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -31.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 64, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 775 weeks of data, LYB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LYB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +30.6%.
With a market cap of $17.7 billion, LYB is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.8%. Return on equity stands at -10.6%. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
Over the past 14.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LYB would have grown to $303, compared to $659 for the S&P 500. LYB has returned 7.7% annualized vs 13.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -29.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: LYB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LYB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying LYB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.1% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +16.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 69% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +75.1% vs +44.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LYB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LYB has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +30.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 7.0% | +108.7% | +381.4% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 4 | 18.5% | +118.7% | +370.3% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 5.0% | +115.6% | +367.4% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 3 | 2.7% | +11.5% | +26.9% |
| Jul 2016 | Aug 2016 | 3 | 4.0% | +24.5% | +26.3% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 3 | 1.8% | +25.2% | +23.4% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 0.5% | +40.1% | +19.8% |
| May 2017 | Jun 2017 | 7 | 2.4% | +44.5% | +13.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Feb 2019 | 10 | 8.5% | +17.1% | +3.3% |
| Feb 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 1.9% | -11.7% | +1.3% |
| Mar 2019 | Apr 2019 | 2 | 1.8% | -47.9% | +0.1% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 5 | 13.3% | -28.0% | +3.0% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 6 | 18.7% | -13.3% | +10.4% |
| Jan 2020 | Nov 2020 | 42 | 49.6% | +16.5% | +5.3% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 4.7% | +36.9% | -6.4% |
| Nov 2024 | Ongoing | 66+ | 42.8% | Ongoing | -27.9% |
| Average | 10 | — | +30.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02