LXU
LSB Industries, Inc. Basic Materials - Chemicals Investor Relations →
LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) closed at $11.38 as of 2026-06-19, trading 15.4% above its 200-week moving average of $9.86. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 20.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 29, LXU is in oversold territory.
Trading activity has gone quiet — just 0.4x of its usual 14-week average. But the buying that is happening outweighs the selling (1.35 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When volume dries up but buyers are still showing up more than sellers, it can mean the worst of the selling is over and the stock is quietly building a floor.
Over the past 2376 weeks of data, LXU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 50 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LXU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +43.7%.
With a market cap of $819 million, LXU is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 8.9%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.0% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LXU would have grown to $160, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. LXU has returned 1.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -60.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LXU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LXU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying LXU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +42.1% after 12 months (median +1.0%), compared to +19.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 53% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +44.3% vs +38.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LXU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices LXU would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where LXU's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-28.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $12.29 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $13.65 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $15.37 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $17.57 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $20.51 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LXU's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LXU has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +43.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1981 | Sep 1981 | 1 | 0.3% | -46.7% | +294.5% |
| Nov 1981 | Aug 1985 | 197 | 78.0% | -37.9% | +308.1% |
| Oct 1985 | Oct 1985 | 2 | 7.0% | +13.3% | +689.0% |
| Nov 1985 | Dec 1985 | 3 | 17.5% | +46.7% | +689.0% |
| Oct 1986 | Oct 1986 | 1 | 0.7% | -6.3% | +639.7% |
| Aug 1987 | Jan 1989 | 73 | 54.4% | -25.0% | +639.7% |
| Sep 1989 | Aug 1991 | 101 | 42.1% | -35.3% | +596.2% |
| Sep 1991 | Sep 1991 | 1 | 0.0% | +246.2% | +810.4% |
| Oct 1991 | Feb 1992 | 16 | 24.6% | +275.0% | +886.3% |
| Nov 1994 | Dec 1994 | 5 | 5.2% | -26.7% | +163.0% |
| Jan 1995 | Jun 1995 | 22 | 14.0% | -29.8% | +151.8% |
| Jun 1995 | Jan 2001 | 291 | 84.8% | -22.0% | +136.7% |
| Nov 2005 | Dec 2005 | 6 | 8.4% | +80.2% | +171.4% |
| Sep 2008 | May 2009 | 31 | 47.1% | +34.1% | +35.4% |
| Oct 2009 | Mar 2010 | 24 | 21.5% | +49.7% | +6.8% |
| Jun 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 2.5% | +185.0% | -3.3% |
| Jun 2010 | Aug 2010 | 6 | 18.9% | +212.1% | +7.0% |
| Nov 2013 | Nov 2013 | 2 | 3.5% | +11.2% | -50.4% |
| Sep 2014 | Feb 2015 | 21 | 18.1% | -50.3% | -57.2% |
| Aug 2015 | Mar 2021 | 295 | 85.9% | -51.9% | -38.3% |
| Jul 2021 | Jul 2021 | 1 | 5.3% | +227.4% | +205.7% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 4 | 1.5% | +1.2% | +36.8% |
| Jan 2024 | May 2024 | 18 | 19.5% | +14.9% | +43.7% |
| Jun 2024 | Feb 2026 | 89 | 53.2% | -16.0% | +22.5% |
| Average | 50 | — | +43.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LXU below its 200-week moving average?
No. LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) is currently 15.4% above its 200-week moving average of $9.86. It would need to fall to $9.86 to cross below the line.
What is LXU's 200-week moving average price?
LSB Industries, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $9.86 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LXU drops below its 200-week moving average?
LXU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +43.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 50 weeks on average.
Is LXU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LXU as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 29 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 5.2%. Return on equity is 8.9%. Price-to-book is 1.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LXU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in LXU would have grown to $160, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 1.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. LXU has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19