LW
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods Investor Relations →
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) closed at $40.00 as of 2026-03-20, trading 46.3% below its 200-week moving average of $74.44. This places LW in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -45.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 24, LW is in oversold territory.
A big spike in selling this week — 4.4x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 440 weeks of data, LW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.0%.
With a market cap of $5.6 billion, LW is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.0%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 23.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.2x book value.
Over the past 8.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LW would have grown to $87, compared to $288 for the S&P 500. LW has returned -1.6% annualized vs 13.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying LW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.0% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +23.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.3% vs +39.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LW has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +20.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2020 | 11 | 21.6% | +70.8% | -7.0% |
| Jul 2020 | Aug 2020 | 1 | 0.7% | +12.6% | -26.6% |
| Jul 2021 | Jun 2022 | 47 | 27.2% | +21.1% | -34.8% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 2 | 0.1% | -24.5% | -47.3% |
| Jul 2024 | Ongoing | 89+ | 46.3% | Ongoing | -47.0% |
| Average | 30 | — | +20.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LW below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) is trading 46.3% below its 200-week moving average of $74.44. The current price is $40.00.
What is LW's 200-week moving average price?
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $74.44 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LW drops below its 200-week moving average?
LW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +20.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 30 weeks on average.
Is LW a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LW as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 24 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 11.0%. Return on equity is 23.2%. Price-to-book is 3.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LW compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 8.5 years, $100 invested in LW would have grown to $87, compared to $288 for the S&P 500. That's -1.6% annualized vs 13.3% for the index. LW has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LW pay a dividend?
Yes. Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 380.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20