LW
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods Investor Relations →
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) closed at $50.12 as of 2026-02-02, trading 33.1% below its 200-week moving average of $74.90. This places LW in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -39.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 35, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 434 weeks of data, LW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.0%.
With a market cap of $7.0 billion, LW is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 23.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 4.0x book value.
Over the past 8.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LW would have grown to $110, compared to $306 for the S&P 500. LW has returned 1.1% annualized vs 14.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: LW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying LW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.0% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +23.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.3% vs +39.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LW has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +20.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2020 | 11 | 21.6% | +70.8% | +16.5% |
| Jul 2020 | Aug 2020 | 1 | 0.7% | +12.6% | -8.0% |
| Jul 2021 | Jun 2022 | 47 | 27.2% | +21.1% | -18.3% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 2 | 0.1% | -24.5% | -34.0% |
| Jul 2024 | Ongoing | 83+ | 45.4% | Ongoing | -33.6% |
| Average | 29 | — | +20.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02