LUNA
Luna Innovations Incorporated Technology - Scientific & Technical Instruments Investor Relations →
Luna Innovations Incorporated (LUNA) closed at $1.50 as of 2026-02-02, trading 65.0% below its 200-week moving average of $4.29. This places LUNA in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -66.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 978 weeks of data, LUNA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 37 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LUNA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.5%.
With a market cap of $52 million, LUNA is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -1.2%. The stock trades at 0.5x book value.
Over the past 18.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LUNA would have grown to $40, compared to $638 for the S&P 500. LUNA has returned -4.8% annualized vs 10.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Growth of $100: LUNA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LUNA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying LUNA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.3% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +5.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 44% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +9.2% vs +16.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LUNA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LUNA has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +6.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2007 | Jun 2007 | 4 | 26.1% | +166.0% | -50.0% |
| Aug 2007 | Sep 2007 | 6 | 12.9% | +22.1% | -62.8% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 3 | 23.9% | -87.3% | -61.1% |
| Aug 2008 | Aug 2008 | 1 | 3.0% | -91.9% | -69.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2012 | 209 | 92.1% | -86.0% | -69.1% |
| Sep 2012 | Oct 2012 | 1 | 2.4% | -19.3% | -9.6% |
| Nov 2012 | Mar 2014 | 70 | 31.7% | -17.6% | -9.1% |
| Mar 2014 | Jan 2015 | 41 | 17.9% | -7.5% | +2.7% |
| Feb 2015 | Jul 2016 | 73 | 35.9% | -35.5% | +6.4% |
| Aug 2016 | Sep 2016 | 4 | 12.3% | +20.0% | +25.0% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 3.3% | +33.3% | +22.0% |
| Jul 2017 | Aug 2017 | 3 | 12.8% | +162.4% | +12.8% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 2 | 5.8% | +63.1% | -76.5% |
| Apr 2022 | Nov 2022 | 33 | 39.4% | +8.8% | -76.0% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 9 | 19.7% | -32.8% | -77.3% |
| Aug 2023 | Ongoing | 131+ | 95.0% | Ongoing | -80.6% |
| Average | 37 | — | +6.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02