LUNA
Luna Innovations Incorporated Technology - Scientific & Technical Instruments Investor Relations →
Luna Innovations Incorporated (LUNA) closed at $1.28 as of 2026-03-20, trading 69.2% below its 200-week moving average of $4.16. This places LUNA in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -66.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading activity has gone quiet — just 0.3x of its usual 14-week average. But the buying that is happening outweighs the selling (2.44 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When volume dries up but buyers are still showing up more than sellers, it can mean the worst of the selling is over and the stock is quietly building a floor.
Over the past 984 weeks of data, LUNA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 37 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LUNA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.5%.
With a market cap of $52 million, LUNA is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -1.2%. The stock trades at 0.5x book value.
Over the past 18.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LUNA would have grown to $34, compared to $601 for the S&P 500. LUNA has returned -5.5% annualized vs 9.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LUNA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LUNA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying LUNA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.3% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +5.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 44% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +9.2% vs +16.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LUNA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LUNA has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +6.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2007 | Jun 2007 | 4 | 26.1% | +166.0% | -57.3% |
| Aug 2007 | Sep 2007 | 6 | 12.9% | +22.1% | -68.2% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 3 | 23.9% | -87.3% | -66.8% |
| Aug 2008 | Aug 2008 | 1 | 3.0% | -91.9% | -74.0% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2012 | 209 | 92.1% | -86.0% | -73.6% |
| Sep 2012 | Oct 2012 | 1 | 2.4% | -19.3% | -22.9% |
| Nov 2012 | Mar 2014 | 70 | 31.7% | -17.6% | -22.4% |
| Mar 2014 | Jan 2015 | 41 | 17.9% | -7.5% | -12.3% |
| Feb 2015 | Jul 2016 | 73 | 35.9% | -35.5% | -9.2% |
| Aug 2016 | Sep 2016 | 4 | 12.3% | +20.0% | +6.7% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 3.3% | +33.3% | +4.1% |
| Jul 2017 | Aug 2017 | 3 | 12.8% | +162.4% | -3.8% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 2 | 5.8% | +63.1% | -79.9% |
| Apr 2022 | Nov 2022 | 33 | 39.4% | +8.8% | -79.5% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 9 | 19.7% | -32.8% | -80.7% |
| Aug 2023 | Ongoing | 137+ | 95.0% | Ongoing | -83.4% |
| Average | 37 | — | +6.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LUNA below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Luna Innovations Incorporated (LUNA) is trading 69.2% below its 200-week moving average of $4.16. The current price is $1.28.
What is LUNA's 200-week moving average price?
Luna Innovations Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $4.16 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LUNA drops below its 200-week moving average?
LUNA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +6.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 37 weeks on average.
Is LUNA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LUNA as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 56. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -1.2%. Price-to-book is 0.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LUNA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.9 years, $100 invested in LUNA would have grown to $34, compared to $601 for the S&P 500. That's -5.5% annualized vs 9.9% for the index. LUNA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20