LUMN

Lumen Technologies Inc. Communication Services - Telecom Investor Relations →

NO
65.5% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 80.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $4.87
14-Week RSI 34

Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN) closed at $8.06 as of 2026-02-02, trading 65.5% above its 200-week moving average of $4.87. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 80.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 34, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 2346 weeks of data, LUMN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times. On average, these episodes lasted 23 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LUMN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.6%.

With a market cap of $8.3 billion, LUMN is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. The stock trades at -7.2x book value.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LUMN would have grown to $253, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. LUMN has returned 2.8% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -32.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: LUMN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After LUMN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 28 historical episodes, buying LUMN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +3.1% after 12 months (median +7.0%), compared to +5.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +3.1% vs +16.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LUMN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Advertisement

Historical Touches

LUMN has crossed below its 200-week MA 35 times with an average 1-year return of +5.6% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Feb 1981Mar 198111.5%-13.8%+3095.3%
Apr 1981Oct 19827622.1%-6.3%+3145.2%
Feb 1984Mar 198463.4%+25.0%+3145.2%
Apr 1984Apr 198410.4%+28.8%+3046.9%
May 1984Jun 198444.7%+32.8%+3145.2%
Jul 1984Jul 198444.5%+43.1%+3095.3%
Aug 1984Sep 198442.9%+52.3%+3095.3%
Apr 1997Apr 199730.2%+120.6%+120.7%
May 1997May 199711.0%+141.8%+122.6%
Apr 2000May 2000513.4%+12.6%+14.4%
Jun 2000Jul 200010.4%+6.1%-2.7%
Jul 2000Jul 200021.2%+9.5%-3.5%
Aug 2000Oct 2000711.4%+19.6%-4.7%
Jan 2001Aug 20012816.1%+5.4%-8.4%
Sep 2001May 20038533.2%-17.4%-7.4%
Jan 2004Aug 20042814.0%+24.1%+3.5%
Apr 2005May 200531.9%+23.7%-11.7%
Jan 2008Aug 20083017.3%-17.5%-26.0%
Oct 2008Oct 20095339.6%+18.5%-15.5%
Oct 2009Nov 200911.5%+38.4%-28.4%
Aug 2013Oct 2013105.5%+31.0%-46.4%
Nov 2013Mar 20142012.5%+33.9%-44.6%
Jun 2015Jun 201510.4%-8.2%-51.5%
Jun 2015Feb 20163624.7%+0.6%-48.0%
May 2016Jul 2016911.6%-10.1%-48.3%
Aug 2016Aug 201810445.4%-27.7%-49.9%
Oct 2018Mar 202112344.1%-26.8%-41.1%
Aug 2021Aug 202110.2%-1.2%-23.7%
Feb 2022Mar 2022512.8%-58.0%-14.5%
Apr 2022May 202238.6%-78.4%-22.1%
Jun 2022Jun 202212.7%-77.8%-20.6%
Jul 2022Jul 202210.1%-81.6%-21.8%
Aug 2022Sep 202410886.4%-83.6%-16.2%
Oct 2024Oct 202437.5%+6.1%+30.0%
Dec 2024Sep 20253946.0%+30.6%+23.8%
Average23+5.6%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02