LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Apparel Investor Relations →
Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU) closed at $172.85 as of 2026-02-02, trading 46.0% below its 200-week moving average of $319.83. This places LULU in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -45.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 919 weeks of data, LULU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LULU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.9%.
With a market cap of $20.5 billion, LULU is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.3%. Return on equity stands at 41.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 4.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.6% over the past three years. LULU passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 17.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LULU would have grown to $1258, compared to $750 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.3% vs 12.0% for the index — confirming LULU as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: LULU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LULU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying LULU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +16.1% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +13.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +46.7% vs +31.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LULU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LULU has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +18.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2008 | Oct 2009 | 66 | 83.1% | -55.4% | +1158.5% |
| Jan 2014 | Jan 2015 | 52 | 33.7% | +32.7% | +264.0% |
| May 2015 | Jun 2015 | 1 | 1.1% | +8.2% | +189.1% |
| Sep 2015 | Jan 2016 | 20 | 26.4% | +20.0% | +220.0% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 2.3% | +14.9% | +193.8% |
| Oct 2016 | Dec 2016 | 9 | 8.6% | +5.2% | +196.5% |
| Mar 2017 | Jun 2017 | 13 | 17.6% | +71.8% | +233.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 1 | 3.9% | +43.7% | -34.4% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 1.8% | +37.9% | -38.2% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 2 | 3.5% | +55.4% | -41.7% |
| Apr 2024 | Dec 2024 | 35 | 34.2% | -26.1% | -51.6% |
| Mar 2025 | Ongoing | 49+ | 52.7% | Ongoing | -49.8% |
| Average | 21 | — | +18.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02