LTC
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LTC Properties, Inc. (LTC) closed at $37.39 as of 2026-02-02, trading 19.5% above its 200-week moving average of $31.29. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 16.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 67, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1698 weeks of data, LTC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LTC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +26.3%.
With a market cap of $1780 million, LTC is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 3.8%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
Share count has increased 15.6% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 32.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LTC would have grown to $2858, compared to $2759 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.8% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming LTC as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 11.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: LTC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LTC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying LTC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.7% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +14.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 74% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +54.4% vs +28.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LTC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LTC has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +26.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1999 | Apr 1999 | 11 | 16.7% | -44.6% | +1487.3% |
| May 1999 | Jan 2002 | 140 | 69.3% | -47.9% | +1464.5% |
| Jan 2002 | Mar 2002 | 7 | 8.9% | -8.2% | +2055.0% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 0.9% | +54.7% | +2171.0% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 0.2% | +102.1% | +2245.6% |
| Feb 2003 | Feb 2003 | 1 | 7.0% | +197.9% | +2523.9% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 1 | 4.3% | +25.1% | +403.8% |
| Nov 2008 | May 2009 | 28 | 23.1% | +45.3% | +430.9% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 4 | 5.1% | +42.9% | +391.2% |
| Jan 2018 | May 2018 | 20 | 14.3% | +12.7% | +51.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Dec 2020 | 40 | 34.3% | +38.7% | +62.6% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 0.1% | -2.4% | +33.3% |
| Jun 2021 | Jun 2021 | 1 | 1.4% | +5.5% | +34.6% |
| Aug 2021 | Mar 2022 | 32 | 13.9% | +25.0% | +40.4% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 4 | 8.6% | +0.8% | +32.6% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 18 | 9.5% | +2.4% | +34.4% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2023 | 15 | 6.3% | +20.2% | +38.5% |
| Dec 2023 | Mar 2024 | 10 | 3.6% | +13.9% | +33.4% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 3 | 1.0% | +16.0% | +31.9% |
| Average | 18 | — | +26.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02