LRCX

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NO
192.2% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 198.7% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $79.07
14-Week RSI 80

Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) closed at $231.01 as of 2026-02-02, trading 192.2% above its 200-week moving average of $79.07. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 198.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, LRCX is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2131 weeks of data, LRCX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 37 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks.

With a market cap of $290.2 billion, LRCX is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.7%. Return on equity stands at 65.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 28.5x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.4% over the past three years. LRCX passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LRCX would have grown to $49413, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 20.6% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming LRCX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 28.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: LRCX vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After LRCX Crosses Below the Line?

Across 27 historical episodes, buying LRCX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +2.0% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +4.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.2% vs +24.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LRCX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

LRCX has crossed below its 200-week MA 37 times

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Apr 1985May 198510.9%+35.1%+132113.8%
Jun 1985Jul 198568.0%+23.0%+132113.8%
Aug 1985Aug 198512.5%-17.8%+133925.1%
Sep 1985Dec 19851624.2%-21.1%+137700.8%
Jun 1986May 19874651.1%N/A+130351.5%
May 1987Jul 198776.9%-21.7%+141694.6%
Oct 1987May 19898048.5%+7.1%+232848.1%
Jun 1989Jul 198912.0%-21.0%+157704.1%
Sep 1989May 19903334.0%-51.6%+157704.1%
Jun 1990Mar 19914254.4%+28.6%+174611.1%
Jun 1996Jan 19973338.9%+4.0%+24513.4%
Mar 1997Jun 19971730.4%-27.7%+22085.6%
Oct 1997Jun 19998674.6%-74.0%+21146.1%
Oct 2000Nov 200038.3%+19.1%+15655.0%
Nov 2000Jan 2001518.4%+48.0%+18247.6%
Sep 2001Oct 2001517.1%-44.2%+16232.5%
Feb 2002Feb 200213.1%-36.8%+12966.0%
May 2002Aug 20036467.9%-21.5%+11851.3%
Sep 2003Sep 200314.3%-5.0%+11814.7%
Jul 2004Jul 200413.6%+47.4%+13022.8%
Aug 2004Aug 200427.2%+36.9%+12599.7%
Aug 2004Sep 200416.6%+49.7%+13400.9%
Oct 2004Oct 200410.3%+40.2%+12470.5%
Jan 2008Jan 200811.2%-38.0%+7065.1%
Feb 2008Feb 200821.3%-43.5%+6955.4%
Mar 2008Mar 200845.7%-49.7%+6984.8%
May 2008Apr 20109956.3%-35.6%+7042.5%
May 2010May 201044.2%+31.6%+7253.2%
Jun 2010Jul 201012.5%+20.5%+7135.7%
Aug 2010Sep 201055.0%+2.8%+7116.5%
Aug 2011Sep 201153.0%-7.1%+7205.7%
Nov 2011Nov 201110.1%-3.9%+7293.2%
Dec 2011Dec 201112.5%+1.3%+7466.1%
May 2012Jun 201212.7%+29.5%+7422.1%
Jul 2012Jan 20132815.8%+29.6%+7557.7%
Sep 2022Oct 2022520.0%+64.8%+528.7%
Mar 2025Apr 202537.6%N/A+293.3%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02