LPX
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation Industrials - Building Products & Equipment Investor Relations →
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) closed at $71.26 as of 2026-05-01, trading 7.2% below its 200-week moving average of $76.81. This places LPX in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -1.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 36, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.90 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2358 weeks of data, LPX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LPX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.8%.
With a market cap of $5.0 billion, LPX is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.5%. Return on equity stands at 8.6%. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LPX would have grown to $325, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. LPX has returned 3.6% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 2 open-market purchases totaling $1,959,592. Notably, these purchases occurred while LPX is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -50% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LPX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LPX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying LPX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +28.2% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +19.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 68% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.3% vs +32.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LPX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LPX has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +27.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1981 | Oct 1982 | 65 | 32.1% | -32.5% | +1807.3% |
| Apr 1984 | Jan 1985 | 39 | 25.0% | -9.0% | +1826.6% |
| Mar 1985 | May 1985 | 10 | 10.4% | +37.3% | +1884.1% |
| Jul 1985 | Nov 1985 | 17 | 16.2% | +22.4% | +1959.5% |
| Jan 1986 | Jan 1986 | 1 | 0.1% | +66.4% | +1837.8% |
| Nov 1988 | Nov 1988 | 1 | 1.0% | +53.2% | +1369.9% |
| Aug 1990 | Feb 1991 | 26 | 34.3% | +39.6% | +1059.5% |
| Mar 1991 | Apr 1991 | 3 | 2.4% | +117.6% | +1067.5% |
| Mar 1995 | May 1995 | 8 | 7.8% | -4.0% | +317.5% |
| May 1995 | Mar 1998 | 146 | 34.0% | +21.7% | +410.9% |
| Mar 1998 | Apr 1999 | 55 | 24.8% | -14.1% | +358.4% |
| May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | 0.4% | -39.6% | +394.0% |
| Aug 1999 | Jun 2003 | 197 | 56.9% | -43.3% | +406.4% |
| Jul 2006 | Nov 2006 | 17 | 9.8% | -8.4% | +344.3% |
| Feb 2007 | Apr 2010 | 167 | 92.4% | -35.8% | +305.3% |
| May 2010 | Dec 2010 | 32 | 36.4% | -14.0% | +687.0% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 7 | 11.7% | +12.2% | +855.5% |
| Jul 2011 | Nov 2011 | 18 | 32.4% | +43.0% | +948.0% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 1.5% | +33.4% | +523.3% |
| Jul 2015 | Aug 2015 | 2 | 2.1% | +40.5% | +460.5% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 1 | 3.3% | +27.6% | +450.3% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 7 | 10.2% | +26.7% | +417.0% |
| Mar 2016 | Mar 2016 | 2 | 3.3% | +57.3% | +417.3% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 2.2% | +36.2% | +272.8% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 2.9% | +56.1% | +257.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2020 | 16 | 42.5% | +158.4% | +275.0% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 1.6% | +102.5% | +45.8% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 8+ | 8.4% | Ongoing | -6.0% |
| Average | 30 | — | +27.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LPX below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) is trading 7.2% below its 200-week moving average of $76.81. The current price is $71.26.
What is LPX's 200-week moving average price?
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation's 200-week moving average is $76.81 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LPX drops below its 200-week moving average?
LPX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +27.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 30 weeks on average.
Is LPX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LPX as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 36. Free cash flow yield is 0.5%. Return on equity is 8.6%. Price-to-book is 2.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LPX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in LPX would have grown to $325, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 3.6% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. LPX has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LPX pay a dividend?
Yes. Louisiana-Pacific Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 168.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01