LPX
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation Industrials - Building Products & Equipment Investor Relations →
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) closed at $96.97 as of 2026-02-02, trading 27.4% above its 200-week moving average of $76.10. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 10.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 58, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, LPX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LPX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.8%.
With a market cap of $6.8 billion, LPX is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.0%. Return on equity stands at 12.7%. The stock trades at 3.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 18.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LPX would have grown to $440, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. LPX has returned 4.6% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -30% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: LPX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LPX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying LPX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +28.2% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +19.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 68% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.3% vs +32.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LPX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LPX has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +27.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1981 | Oct 1982 | 65 | 32.1% | -32.5% | +2486.1% |
| Apr 1984 | Jan 1985 | 39 | 25.0% | -9.0% | +2512.3% |
| Mar 1985 | May 1985 | 10 | 10.4% | +37.3% | +2590.3% |
| Jul 1985 | Nov 1985 | 17 | 16.2% | +22.4% | +2692.5% |
| Jan 1986 | Jan 1986 | 1 | 0.1% | +66.4% | +2527.4% |
| Nov 1988 | Nov 1988 | 1 | 1.0% | +53.2% | +1893.1% |
| Aug 1990 | Feb 1991 | 26 | 34.3% | +39.6% | +1472.2% |
| Mar 1991 | Apr 1991 | 3 | 2.4% | +117.6% | +1483.0% |
| Mar 1995 | May 1995 | 8 | 7.8% | -4.0% | +466.1% |
| May 1995 | Mar 1998 | 146 | 34.0% | +21.7% | +592.8% |
| Mar 1998 | Apr 1999 | 55 | 24.8% | -14.1% | +521.5% |
| May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | 0.4% | -39.6% | +569.9% |
| Aug 1999 | Jun 2003 | 197 | 56.9% | -43.3% | +586.6% |
| Jul 2006 | Nov 2006 | 17 | 9.8% | -8.4% | +502.5% |
| Feb 2007 | Apr 2010 | 167 | 92.4% | -35.8% | +449.5% |
| May 2010 | Dec 2010 | 32 | 36.4% | -14.0% | +967.1% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 7 | 11.7% | +12.2% | +1195.6% |
| Jul 2011 | Nov 2011 | 18 | 32.4% | +43.0% | +1321.0% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 1.5% | +33.4% | +745.2% |
| Jul 2015 | Aug 2015 | 2 | 2.1% | +40.5% | +660.0% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 1 | 3.3% | +27.6% | +646.1% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 7 | 10.2% | +26.7% | +601.0% |
| Mar 2016 | Mar 2016 | 2 | 3.3% | +57.3% | +601.4% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 2.2% | +36.2% | +405.5% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 2.9% | +56.1% | +384.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2020 | 16 | 42.5% | +158.4% | +408.5% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 1.6% | +102.5% | +97.7% |
| Average | 31 | — | +27.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02