LOW
Lowe's Companies Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Home Improvement Investor Relations →
Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW) closed at $278.38 as of 2026-02-02, trading 28.5% above its 200-week moving average of $216.65. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 23.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 72, LOW is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, LOW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LOW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.3%.
With a market cap of $156.2 billion, LOW is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.0%. The stock trades at -15.0x book value.
LOW is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 172.00%. The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 16.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LOW would have grown to $24015, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 18.0% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming LOW as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -2.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: LOW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LOW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying LOW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +37.1% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +8.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.4% vs +8.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LOW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LOW has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +23.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1981 | Aug 1982 | 52 | 46.4% | -7.8% | +74562.7% |
| Oct 1983 | Nov 1983 | 3 | 6.9% | +11.2% | +72805.9% |
| Dec 1983 | Dec 1983 | 2 | 3.1% | +14.0% | +71958.3% |
| Jan 1984 | Oct 1984 | 38 | 23.9% | +34.5% | +73673.9% |
| Sep 1985 | Nov 1985 | 8 | 8.9% | +17.7% | +70090.1% |
| Nov 1985 | Dec 1985 | 3 | 2.8% | +14.3% | +67119.2% |
| Sep 1986 | Oct 1986 | 7 | 7.3% | +6.6% | +59526.0% |
| Nov 1986 | Nov 1986 | 1 | 1.3% | -24.1% | +58689.7% |
| Dec 1986 | Dec 1986 | 1 | 0.5% | -34.5% | +58400.0% |
| May 1987 | May 1987 | 1 | 4.7% | -16.0% | +61336.9% |
| Sep 1987 | Apr 1989 | 83 | 37.1% | -16.4% | +57769.9% |
| Aug 1990 | Jan 1991 | 21 | 24.2% | +46.4% | +60149.9% |
| Oct 1991 | Oct 1991 | 2 | 4.9% | +50.5% | +54792.2% |
| Dec 1991 | Dec 1991 | 1 | 0.4% | +94.4% | +51394.1% |
| Nov 2000 | Dec 2000 | 2 | 1.2% | +120.1% | +3973.3% |
| Aug 2006 | Aug 2006 | 1 | 1.4% | +13.7% | +1363.0% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 4 | 8.3% | -27.0% | +1298.8% |
| Sep 2007 | Mar 2010 | 128 | 50.6% | -11.4% | +1286.4% |
| May 2010 | Nov 2010 | 26 | 16.7% | +1.4% | +1480.9% |
| Jul 2011 | Oct 2011 | 14 | 12.4% | +27.5% | +1579.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 25.6% | +175.0% | +368.1% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 1 | 0.5% | N/A | +32.8% |
| Average | 18 | — | +23.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02