LNC

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NO
30.4% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 34.4% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $30.90
14-Week RSI 46

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) closed at $40.31 as of 2026-02-02, trading 30.4% above its 200-week moving average of $30.90. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 34.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 2346 weeks of data, LNC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LNC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.9%.

With a market cap of $7.7 billion, LNC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 241.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 21.7%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LNC would have grown to $578, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. LNC has returned 5.4% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: LNC vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After LNC Crosses Below the Line?

Across 22 historical episodes, buying LNC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -8.1% after 12 months (median -10.0%), compared to +2.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 35% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +18.8% vs +25.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LNC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

LNC has crossed below its 200-week MA 39 times with an average 1-year return of +4.9% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Feb 1981Mar 198122.5%+6.8%+1499.2%
May 1981May 198110.5%+6.9%+1449.2%
Aug 1981Nov 19811110.2%-11.0%+1458.9%
Dec 1981Dec 198111.0%+14.4%+1449.2%
Jan 1982Jan 198210.7%+12.8%+1444.4%
Feb 1982Feb 198212.9%+24.8%+1478.8%
Mar 1982Apr 198251.8%+21.4%+1458.9%
Jun 1982Oct 19821714.5%+28.2%+1454.0%
Jan 1984Feb 19855338.2%+29.7%+1836.5%
Feb 1985May 1985129.1%+48.2%+1345.0%
Jun 1985Jul 198511.6%+29.3%+1363.5%
Aug 1985Aug 198510.7%+36.6%+1342.9%
Sep 1985Sep 198533.5%+28.1%+1383.1%
Oct 1987Jan 1988108.7%+30.8%+1270.4%
May 1988May 198842.2%+18.0%+1169.8%
Dec 1988Jan 198953.3%+38.0%+1080.3%
Aug 1990Jan 19912426.7%+9.7%+949.1%
Feb 2000May 20001529.4%+46.2%+157.2%
Jun 2000Jul 200010.6%+47.4%+127.6%
Oct 2001Oct 200111.4%-18.5%+93.1%
Jun 2002Oct 20037235.1%-8.9%+86.1%
Jan 2008Feb 200844.6%-62.3%+30.9%
Feb 2008May 20081110.1%-82.5%+28.6%
Jun 2008Mar 201219789.1%-61.6%+23.9%
Apr 2012Aug 20121718.1%+38.2%+156.7%
Jan 2016Apr 20161423.2%+70.1%+45.4%
May 2016May 201624.6%+66.6%+40.9%
Jun 2016Aug 2016812.9%+61.9%+35.6%
Oct 2018Oct 201810.0%+9.1%-3.8%
Dec 2018Jan 2019615.3%+5.1%-1.3%
Mar 2019Mar 201910.8%-69.7%-4.2%
Jul 2019Sep 2019611.2%-34.0%-6.8%
Sep 2019Oct 201924.3%-40.1%-3.3%
Oct 2019Dec 201962.9%-36.9%-6.5%
Dec 2019Feb 20216071.7%-11.7%-7.6%
May 2022May 202212.1%-58.0%-5.2%
Jun 2022Feb 202513959.1%-52.3%-2.3%
Mar 2025Jun 20251618.2%N/A+18.9%
Jul 2025Jul 202510.6%N/A+22.5%
Average19+4.9%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02