LKQ
LKQ Corporation Consumer Cyclical - Auto Parts Investor Relations →
LKQ Corporation (LKQ) closed at $28.51 as of 2026-05-01, trading 31.0% below its 200-week moving average of $41.30. This places LKQ in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -23.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 35, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.81 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1129 weeks of data, LKQ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LKQ at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +40.8%.
With a market cap of $7.3 billion, LKQ is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 8.1%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Over the past 21.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LKQ would have grown to $1354, compared to $962 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.8% vs 11.0% for the index — confirming LKQ as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -6.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LKQ vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LKQ Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying LKQ when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +37.8% after 12 months (median +33.0%), compared to +17.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.6% vs +32.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LKQ crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LKQ has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +40.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2004 | Sep 2004 | 1 | 0.5% | +67.1% | +1349.4% |
| Oct 2004 | Nov 2004 | 7 | 20.9% | +72.1% | +1347.8% |
| Jan 2005 | Feb 2005 | 5 | 6.1% | +122.9% | +1404.7% |
| Oct 2008 | Mar 2009 | 20 | 27.3% | +53.4% | +430.1% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 2 | 3.8% | +26.7% | +27.2% |
| Mar 2017 | Apr 2017 | 5 | 5.5% | +26.5% | +9.1% |
| Apr 2018 | May 2018 | 4 | 4.4% | -4.4% | +6.4% |
| Sep 2018 | Oct 2019 | 57 | 26.5% | -1.1% | +1.3% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 26 | 49.4% | +33.2% | +8.4% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 4 | 13.4% | +64.1% | +3.3% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 1.9% | -11.4% | -29.2% |
| Apr 2024 | Ongoing | 106+ | 35.5% | Ongoing | -30.2% |
| Average | 20 | — | +40.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LKQ below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, LKQ Corporation (LKQ) is trading 31.0% below its 200-week moving average of $41.30. The current price is $28.51.
What is LKQ's 200-week moving average price?
LKQ Corporation's 200-week moving average is $41.30 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LKQ drops below its 200-week moving average?
LKQ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +40.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is LKQ a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LKQ as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 35. Free cash flow yield is 10.9%. Return on equity is 8.1%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LKQ compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 21.7 years, $100 invested in LKQ would have grown to $1354, compared to $962 for the S&P 500. That's 12.8% annualized vs 11.0% for the index. LKQ has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LKQ pay a dividend?
Yes. LKQ Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 421.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01