LKQ
LKQ Corporation Consumer Cyclical - Auto Parts Investor Relations →
LKQ Corporation (LKQ) closed at $28.26 as of 2026-03-20, trading 32.3% below its 200-week moving average of $41.75. This places LKQ in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -30.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 42, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.63 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 1123 weeks of data, LKQ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LKQ at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +40.8%.
With a market cap of $7.2 billion, LKQ is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.5%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 9.5%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Over the past 21.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LKQ would have grown to $1342, compared to $868 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.8% vs 10.5% for the index — confirming LKQ as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -6.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LKQ vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LKQ Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying LKQ when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +37.8% after 12 months (median +33.0%), compared to +17.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +58.0% vs +30.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LKQ crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LKQ has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +40.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2004 | Sep 2004 | 1 | 0.5% | +67.1% | +1336.7% |
| Oct 2004 | Nov 2004 | 7 | 20.9% | +72.1% | +1335.1% |
| Jan 2005 | Feb 2005 | 5 | 6.1% | +122.9% | +1391.5% |
| Oct 2008 | Mar 2009 | 20 | 27.3% | +53.4% | +425.4% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 2 | 3.8% | +26.7% | +26.0% |
| Mar 2017 | Apr 2017 | 5 | 5.5% | +26.5% | +8.2% |
| Apr 2018 | May 2018 | 4 | 4.4% | -4.4% | +5.5% |
| Sep 2018 | Oct 2019 | 57 | 26.5% | -1.1% | +0.4% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 26 | 49.4% | +33.2% | +7.5% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 4 | 13.4% | +64.1% | +2.4% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 1.9% | -11.4% | -29.8% |
| Apr 2024 | Ongoing | 100+ | 35.5% | Ongoing | -30.8% |
| Average | 19 | — | +40.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LKQ below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, LKQ Corporation (LKQ) is trading 32.3% below its 200-week moving average of $41.75. The current price is $28.26.
What is LKQ's 200-week moving average price?
LKQ Corporation's 200-week moving average is $41.75 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LKQ drops below its 200-week moving average?
LKQ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +40.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is LKQ a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LKQ as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 42. Free cash flow yield is 10.5%. Return on equity is 9.5%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LKQ compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 21.6 years, $100 invested in LKQ would have grown to $1342, compared to $868 for the S&P 500. That's 12.8% annualized vs 10.5% for the index. LKQ has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LKQ pay a dividend?
Yes. LKQ Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 425.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20