LIND
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Travel Services Investor Relations →
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. (LIND) closed at $25.75 as of 2026-06-19, trading 130.9% above its 200-week moving average of $11.15. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 111.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 71, LIND is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.97 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 628 weeks of data, LIND has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LIND at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.0%.
With a market cap of $1689 million, LIND is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.3%, which is healthy. The stock trades at -8.9x book value.
Share count has increased 4.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 12.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LIND would have grown to $260, compared to $469 for the S&P 500. LIND has returned 8.2% annualized vs 13.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LIND vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LIND Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying LIND when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.2% after 12 months (median +4.0%), compared to +8.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 69% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +17.1% vs +27.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LIND crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices LIND would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where LIND's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $17.28 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $18.79 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $20.57 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $22.73 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $25.40 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LIND's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LIND has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +12.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2014 | Aug 2014 | 1 | 7.1% | +1.0% | +183.9% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 5 | 19.3% | +1.0% | +164.6% |
| Jan 2015 | Jan 2015 | 1 | 8.5% | +16.3% | +189.0% |
| Aug 2015 | Oct 2015 | 8 | 8.0% | -4.2% | +168.2% |
| Feb 2016 | Apr 2016 | 12 | 7.4% | -7.9% | +160.6% |
| May 2016 | May 2017 | 54 | 16.9% | -5.9% | +161.7% |
| Jun 2017 | Jun 2017 | 1 | 1.8% | +35.3% | +167.4% |
| Jul 2017 | Jul 2017 | 1 | 0.3% | +37.4% | +163.3% |
| Dec 2017 | Jan 2018 | 4 | 1.4% | +33.1% | +163.8% |
| Jan 2018 | Mar 2018 | 7 | 9.5% | +31.3% | +164.4% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 39 | 73.0% | +75.0% | +116.4% |
| Jul 2021 | Jul 2021 | 1 | 8.4% | -42.3% | +112.5% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 2 | 7.7% | -33.5% | +97.6% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 3 | 13.9% | -11.5% | +101.5% |
| Jun 2022 | Nov 2024 | 126 | 55.4% | -21.3% | +103.7% |
| Feb 2025 | Jun 2025 | 17 | 26.9% | +87.7% | +131.8% |
| Average | 18 | — | +12.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LIND below its 200-week moving average?
No. Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. (LIND) is currently 130.9% above its 200-week moving average of $11.15. It would need to fall to $11.15 to cross below the line.
What is LIND's 200-week moving average price?
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $11.15 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LIND drops below its 200-week moving average?
LIND has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is LIND a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LIND as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 71 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 6.3%. Price-to-book is -8.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LIND compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 12.1 years, $100 invested in LIND would have grown to $260, compared to $469 for the S&P 500. That's 8.2% annualized vs 13.6% for the index. LIND has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19