LII
Lennox International Inc. Industrials - Building Products & Equipment Investor Relations →
Lennox International Inc. (LII) closed at $532.43 as of 2026-06-19, trading 18.2% above its 200-week moving average of $450.37. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 14.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1355 weeks of data, LII has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LII at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.3%.
With a market cap of $18.5 billion, LII is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.0%. Return on equity stands at 76.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 15.3x book value.
Over the past 26 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LII would have grown to $6404, compared to $829 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.3% vs 8.5% for the index — confirming LII as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 47% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LII vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LII Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying LII when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +42.1% after 12 months (median +38.0%), compared to +10.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +88.8% vs +28.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LII crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices LII would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where LII's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $417.06 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $445.28 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $477.59 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $514.96 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $558.68 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LII's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LII has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +34.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2000 | Feb 2001 | 21 | 37.7% | -18.3% | +7918.7% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 5 | 7.8% | +26.6% | +7512.0% |
| May 2001 | Feb 2002 | 40 | 24.7% | +51.2% | +7378.4% |
| Oct 2008 | Dec 2008 | 8 | 25.2% | +35.4% | +2391.4% |
| Jan 2009 | Apr 2009 | 13 | 18.1% | +43.4% | +2301.3% |
| May 2009 | May 2009 | 1 | 4.4% | +48.5% | +2214.4% |
| Jul 2011 | Jan 2012 | 24 | 30.3% | +23.1% | +1636.5% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 10 | 15.2% | +67.8% | +215.9% |
| Feb 2022 | Feb 2022 | 1 | 1.6% | +8.8% | +122.4% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 1 | 0.4% | -2.6% | +118.7% |
| Apr 2022 | Aug 2022 | 18 | 27.8% | -6.0% | +119.1% |
| Aug 2022 | Nov 2022 | 11 | 16.9% | +51.1% | +129.0% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 8 | 8.0% | +65.8% | +114.8% |
| Feb 2023 | Apr 2023 | 8 | 8.7% | +85.3% | +119.3% |
| Average | 12 | — | +34.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LII below its 200-week moving average?
No. Lennox International Inc. (LII) is currently 18.2% above its 200-week moving average of $450.37. It would need to fall to $450.37 to cross below the line.
What is LII's 200-week moving average price?
Lennox International Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $450.37 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LII drops below its 200-week moving average?
LII has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +34.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is LII a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LII as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 60. Free cash flow yield is 1.0%. Return on equity is 76.8%. Price-to-book is 15.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LII compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 26 years, $100 invested in LII would have grown to $6404, compared to $829 for the S&P 500. That's 17.3% annualized vs 8.5% for the index. LII has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LII pay a dividend?
Yes. Lennox International Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 103.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19