LI
Li Auto Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Electric Vehicles Investor Relations →
Li Auto Inc. (LI) closed at $18.97 as of 2026-02-02, trading 28.6% below its 200-week moving average of $26.58. This places LI in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -37.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 240 weeks of data, LI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.3%.
With a market cap of $19.2 billion, LI is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 6.6%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Share count has increased 4.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 4.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LI would have grown to $57, compared to $168 for the S&P 500. LI has returned -11.4% annualized vs 11.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: LI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying LI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +2.0% after 12 months (median -11.0%), compared to +7.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 20% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -14.5% vs +31.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LI has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +6.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 1 | 10.3% | +4.2% | -20.9% |
| Mar 2022 | Jun 2022 | 13 | 21.3% | -3.6% | -14.4% |
| Aug 2022 | May 2023 | 36 | 47.0% | +59.3% | -28.6% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 1 | 1.4% | -16.0% | -31.3% |
| Apr 2024 | Feb 2025 | 45 | 36.8% | -12.4% | -28.1% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 9 | 17.5% | N/A | -30.9% |
| Jun 2025 | Jul 2025 | 4 | 6.4% | N/A | -27.1% |
| Jul 2025 | Ongoing | 28+ | 39.4% | Ongoing | -24.8% |
| Average | 17 | — | +6.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02