LHX
L3Harris Technologies Inc. Industrials - Defense Investor Relations →
L3Harris Technologies Inc. (LHX) closed at $294.82 as of 2026-06-19, trading 28.9% above its 200-week moving average of $228.64. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 34.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 24, LHX is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.74 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2272 weeks of data, LHX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LHX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.8%.
With a market cap of $54.9 billion, LHX is a large-cap stock. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LHX would have grown to $7883, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.9% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming LHX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 12.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LHX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LHX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying LHX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.0% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +10.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +40.4% vs +17.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LHX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices LHX would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where LHX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-24.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $285.39 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $323.21 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $372.58 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $439.76 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $536.49 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LHX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LHX has crossed below its 200-week MA 34 times with an average 1-year return of +12.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1983 | Nov 1983 | 2 | 0.8% | -21.0% | +10571.3% |
| Feb 1984 | Feb 1985 | 52 | 31.6% | -3.1% | +10361.4% |
| Feb 1985 | Apr 1986 | 61 | 25.6% | +1.6% | +11707.5% |
| Jul 1986 | Nov 1986 | 14 | 10.4% | +27.8% | +12066.6% |
| Dec 1986 | Dec 1986 | 1 | 0.1% | -17.0% | +11256.9% |
| Oct 1987 | Feb 1988 | 19 | 22.2% | +10.1% | +12530.9% |
| May 1988 | May 1988 | 3 | 4.1% | +10.6% | +11560.5% |
| Jul 1988 | Jan 1989 | 27 | 11.4% | +31.6% | +12062.0% |
| Feb 1989 | Apr 1989 | 8 | 3.5% | +9.4% | +11481.0% |
| Jan 1990 | Feb 1990 | 2 | 3.0% | -19.8% | +10534.4% |
| Feb 1990 | Feb 1990 | 1 | 1.1% | -14.0% | +10489.4% |
| Jul 1990 | Jun 1991 | 45 | 52.2% | -0.9% | +10888.3% |
| Jun 1991 | Dec 1991 | 27 | 16.6% | +9.0% | +11256.4% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 8 | 17.7% | -17.2% | +3496.2% |
| Feb 1999 | May 1999 | 12 | 20.7% | +10.0% | +3340.5% |
| Jul 1999 | Jan 2000 | 27 | 42.7% | +15.5% | +3231.1% |
| Apr 2000 | Apr 2000 | 2 | 9.1% | -11.8% | +3450.6% |
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 2 | 6.8% | +1.8% | +3199.1% |
| Jun 2000 | Jun 2000 | 1 | 1.6% | -7.4% | +3139.5% |
| Aug 2000 | Sep 2001 | 59 | 30.1% | +0.9% | +3214.2% |
| Dec 2001 | Dec 2001 | 1 | 4.9% | -11.6% | +3367.9% |
| Oct 2002 | Jan 2003 | 13 | 15.7% | +36.4% | +3580.5% |
| Mar 2003 | May 2003 | 8 | 7.6% | +68.4% | +3415.5% |
| Jul 2003 | Jul 2003 | 1 | 0.8% | +63.1% | +3193.1% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2009 | 57 | 36.6% | -9.0% | +969.1% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 3.3% | +13.1% | +912.6% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 1 | 0.1% | -16.9% | +875.2% |
| Jul 2011 | Jan 2012 | 27 | 17.6% | +9.9% | +923.2% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 3 | 2.5% | +35.6% | +938.5% |
| Jan 2023 | Jan 2023 | 2 | 4.1% | +8.0% | +60.6% |
| Mar 2023 | Dec 2023 | 39 | 17.7% | +11.7% | +61.3% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | +64.3% | +45.4% |
| Feb 2025 | Mar 2025 | 4 | 5.4% | +72.9% | +46.9% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 2.9% | +72.6% | +44.8% |
| Average | 16 | — | +12.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LHX below its 200-week moving average?
No. L3Harris Technologies Inc. (LHX) is currently 28.9% above its 200-week moving average of $228.64. It would need to fall to $228.64 to cross below the line.
What is LHX's 200-week moving average price?
L3Harris Technologies Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $228.64 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LHX drops below its 200-week moving average?
LHX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is LHX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LHX as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 24 (oversold). Price-to-book is 2.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LHX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in LHX would have grown to $7883, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 13.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. LHX has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19