LFUS
Littelfuse, Inc. Technology - Electronic Components Investor Relations →
Littelfuse, Inc. (LFUS) closed at $442.13 as of 2026-07-31, trading 69.2% above its 200-week moving average of $261.35. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 55.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 2.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.05 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1718 weeks of data, LFUS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LFUS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.6%.
With a market cap of $11.2 billion, LFUS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.2%. Return on equity stands at -0.3%. The stock trades at 4.3x book value.
Over the past 33 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LFUS would have grown to $5234, compared to $2889 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.7% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming LFUS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 5.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LFUS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LFUS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 33 historical episodes, buying LFUS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.3% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +5.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 55% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.9% vs +12.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LFUS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices LFUS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where LFUS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $371.70 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $404.97 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $444.77 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $493.26 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $553.60 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LFUS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LFUS has crossed below its 200-week MA 33 times with an average 1-year return of +8.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1994 | Jul 1994 | 3 | 0.7% | +59.4% | +4944.0% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 10 | 17.7% | -5.2% | +2437.4% |
| Dec 1998 | Sep 1999 | 40 | 22.7% | +18.9% | +2702.2% |
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 1 | 0.1% | +34.2% | +2251.0% |
| Oct 1999 | Nov 1999 | 1 | 0.1% | +29.8% | +2237.8% |
| Nov 1999 | Dec 1999 | 5 | 4.1% | +27.6% | +2319.4% |
| Nov 2000 | Nov 2000 | 1 | 1.0% | -19.3% | +1939.9% |
| Jan 2001 | Jan 2001 | 2 | 4.7% | +6.3% | +1980.7% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 6 | 17.6% | +8.5% | +2061.7% |
| Jun 2001 | Jul 2001 | 4 | 2.1% | -9.7% | +1900.6% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 16 | 21.0% | -12.4% | +1984.8% |
| Jan 2002 | Feb 2002 | 6 | 6.5% | -27.7% | +2076.4% |
| Mar 2002 | Apr 2002 | 2 | 7.1% | -28.1% | +2000.0% |
| Apr 2002 | Sep 2003 | 75 | 41.3% | -26.2% | +1964.1% |
| Oct 2003 | Oct 2003 | 2 | 3.4% | +35.2% | +1994.1% |
| Apr 2005 | Apr 2005 | 1 | 0.8% | +19.0% | +1848.2% |
| Oct 2005 | Jan 2006 | 12 | 19.2% | +31.8% | +1847.5% |
| Aug 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 2.8% | +9.8% | +1519.9% |
| Oct 2007 | Mar 2008 | 21 | 14.7% | -42.3% | +1507.4% |
| Jun 2008 | Aug 2008 | 5 | 6.2% | -36.4% | +1555.0% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2008 | 1 | 0.2% | -27.6% | +1491.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2009 | 63 | 69.2% | -9.6% | +1800.5% |
| Feb 2010 | Feb 2010 | 1 | 1.6% | +75.2% | +1682.0% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 5 | 6.2% | +12.9% | +197.7% |
| Feb 2020 | Jul 2020 | 22 | 34.9% | +64.5% | +194.2% |
| Sep 2020 | Sep 2020 | 3 | 4.9% | +56.7% | +166.4% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 8 | 7.8% | +20.4% | +117.2% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 7 | 7.9% | +12.2% | +96.5% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 1 | 2.1% | +1.3% | +93.6% |
| Feb 2024 | Apr 2024 | 9 | 7.3% | -1.8% | +89.5% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 2 | 3.2% | +2.7% | +82.8% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 2 | 0.6% | +5.9% | +79.6% |
| Oct 2024 | Jul 2025 | 39 | 38.5% | -1.3% | +80.7% |
| Average | 12 | — | +8.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LFUS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Littelfuse, Inc. (LFUS) is currently 69.2% above its 200-week moving average of $261.35. It would need to fall to $261.35 to cross below the line.
What is LFUS's 200-week moving average price?
Littelfuse, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $261.35 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LFUS drops below its 200-week moving average?
LFUS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +8.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is LFUS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LFUS as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 57. Free cash flow yield is 3.2%. Return on equity is -0.3%. Price-to-book is 4.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LFUS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33 years, $100 invested in LFUS would have grown to $5234, compared to $2889 for the S&P 500. That's 12.7% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. LFUS has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LFUS pay a dividend?
Yes. Littelfuse, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 72.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31