LEU
Centrus Energy Corp. Energy - Uranium Investor Relations →
Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) closed at $191.39 as of 2026-06-19, trading 87.6% above its 200-week moving average of $102.03. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 60.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.07 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1408 weeks of data, LEU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 64 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LEU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +44.5%.
With a market cap of $3.8 billion, LEU is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 12.3%. The stock trades at 4.9x book value.
Share count has increased 34.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 27.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LEU would have grown to $9, compared to $877 for the S&P 500. LEU has returned -8.4% annualized vs 8.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LEU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LEU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying LEU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +37.5% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +0.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +47.2% vs +9.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LEU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. LEU currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LEU's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LEU has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +44.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1999 | Mar 2001 | 91 | 66.0% | -58.4% | -90.6% |
| Jun 2001 | Jun 2001 | 1 | 5.7% | +22.6% | -86.5% |
| Aug 2001 | Nov 2001 | 13 | 11.9% | +14.2% | -86.7% |
| Jan 2002 | Feb 2002 | 7 | 16.7% | -0.9% | -87.3% |
| Mar 2002 | Apr 2002 | 4 | 9.7% | -5.9% | -86.2% |
| Apr 2002 | May 2002 | 3 | 6.5% | -10.4% | -86.4% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 1 | 1.6% | +17.3% | -86.8% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 3 | 4.4% | +16.0% | -86.6% |
| Dec 2002 | Dec 2002 | 4 | 1.3% | +37.0% | -86.3% |
| Mar 2003 | Apr 2003 | 8 | 6.7% | +66.2% | -85.1% |
| Sep 2007 | Sep 2019 | 628 | 98.8% | -45.0% | -93.3% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 5.3% | +480.9% | +441.3% |
| Average | 64 | — | +44.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEU below its 200-week moving average?
No. Centrus Energy Corp. (LEU) is currently 87.6% above its 200-week moving average of $102.03. It would need to fall to $102.03 to cross below the line.
What is LEU's 200-week moving average price?
Centrus Energy Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $102.03 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LEU drops below its 200-week moving average?
LEU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +44.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 64 weeks on average.
Is LEU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LEU as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 43. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 12.3%. Price-to-book is 4.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LEU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 27.1 years, $100 invested in LEU would have grown to $9, compared to $877 for the S&P 500. That's -8.4% annualized vs 8.3% for the index. LEU has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19