LEN
Lennar Corporation Consumer Discretionary - Homebuilders Investor Relations →
Lennar Corporation (LEN) closed at $89.73 as of 2026-06-19, trading 23.7% below its 200-week moving average of $117.65. This places LEN in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -23.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 44, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.80 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, LEN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LEN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +36.3%.
With a market cap of $22.1 billion, LEN is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 7.4%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LEN would have grown to $3492, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.2% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming LEN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -79.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LEN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LEN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying LEN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +44.2% after 12 months (median +43.0%), compared to +16.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +57.4% vs +26.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LEN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. LEN currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LEN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LEN has crossed below its 200-week MA 33 times with an average 1-year return of +36.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1981 | Sep 1982 | 61 | 37.8% | -33.6% | +13503.2% |
| Oct 1983 | Oct 1983 | 1 | 5.5% | -26.7% | +13814.7% |
| Dec 1983 | Jan 1984 | 4 | 7.8% | -25.4% | +13503.2% |
| Jan 1984 | Feb 1986 | 108 | 43.4% | -11.0% | +13303.1% |
| Jul 1986 | Sep 1986 | 9 | 13.0% | +40.8% | +13709.3% |
| Oct 1986 | Nov 1986 | 4 | 3.3% | +41.9% | +14252.9% |
| Oct 1987 | Dec 1987 | 8 | 11.5% | +20.5% | +14736.2% |
| Jan 1988 | Jan 1988 | 1 | 2.8% | +20.2% | +13874.0% |
| May 1988 | May 1988 | 3 | 4.2% | +28.6% | +13363.3% |
| Dec 1988 | Jan 1989 | 2 | 1.4% | +12.6% | +12515.4% |
| Dec 1989 | Feb 1991 | 60 | 50.5% | -19.1% | +11103.6% |
| Sep 1994 | Feb 1995 | 19 | 8.9% | +43.5% | +4522.3% |
| Feb 1995 | May 1995 | 9 | 6.8% | +46.2% | +4094.8% |
| Aug 1995 | Aug 1995 | 1 | 1.1% | +29.9% | +3819.6% |
| Nov 1997 | Nov 1997 | 1 | 23.4% | +234.9% | +3816.4% |
| Sep 1999 | Mar 2000 | 25 | 21.2% | +74.0% | +1561.5% |
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 2 | 2.4% | +139.8% | +1379.3% |
| Jun 2000 | Jun 2000 | 1 | 2.0% | +123.7% | +1354.1% |
| Jun 2006 | Jul 2006 | 5 | 11.4% | -9.6% | +163.0% |
| Aug 2006 | Nov 2006 | 14 | 6.9% | -17.4% | +167.9% |
| Feb 2007 | Dec 2010 | 197 | 90.5% | -60.8% | +138.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 9 | 10.9% | +123.0% | +657.8% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 3 | 2.2% | +14.6% | +164.5% |
| Sep 2016 | Nov 2016 | 7 | 3.6% | +25.1% | +146.5% |
| Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | 1 | 1.9% | +51.9% | +148.2% |
| Dec 2016 | Dec 2016 | 1 | 0.8% | +53.4% | +145.0% |
| Sep 2018 | Mar 2019 | 26 | 20.7% | +17.6% | +118.5% |
| Jun 2019 | Aug 2019 | 6 | 5.6% | +22.5% | +109.9% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 10 | 34.5% | +94.5% | +122.0% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 7.4% | +88.9% | +52.7% |
| Mar 2025 | Jul 2025 | 16 | 6.8% | -20.7% | -17.3% |
| Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 3 | 9.9% | N/A | -16.1% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 22+ | 29.9% | Ongoing | -19.0% |
| Average | 19 | — | +36.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEN below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Lennar Corporation (LEN) is trading 23.7% below its 200-week moving average of $117.65. The current price is $89.73.
What is LEN's 200-week moving average price?
Lennar Corporation's 200-week moving average is $117.65 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LEN drops below its 200-week moving average?
LEN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +36.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is LEN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LEN as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 44. Return on equity is 7.4%. Price-to-book is 1.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LEN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in LEN would have grown to $3492, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 11.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. LEN has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LEN pay a dividend?
Yes. Lennar Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 223.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19