LEN

Lennar Corporation Consumer Discretionary - Homebuilders Investor Relations →

YES
1.8% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -6.0% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $116.07
14-Week RSI 43

Lennar Corporation (LEN) closed at $114.02 as of 2026-02-02, trading 1.8% below its 200-week moving average of $116.07. This places LEN in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -6.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 2346 weeks of data, LEN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LEN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +38.2%.

With a market cap of $28.2 billion, LEN is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 43.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 8.4%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.8% over the past three years.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LEN would have grown to $4414, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.1% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming LEN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -79.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: LEN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After LEN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 21 historical episodes, buying LEN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +47.6% after 12 months (median +43.0%), compared to +16.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 84% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +57.4% vs +26.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LEN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

LEN has crossed below its 200-week MA 33 times with an average 1-year return of +38.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jul 1981Sep 19826137.8%-33.6%+17094.4%
Oct 1983Oct 198315.5%-26.7%+17488.1%
Dec 1983Jan 198447.8%-25.4%+17094.4%
Jan 1984Feb 198610843.4%-11.0%+16841.5%
Jul 1986Sep 1986913.0%+40.8%+17354.9%
Oct 1986Nov 198643.3%+41.9%+18042.1%
Oct 1987Dec 1987811.5%+20.5%+18653.0%
Jan 1988Jan 198812.8%+20.2%+17563.2%
May 1988May 198834.2%+28.6%+16917.6%
Dec 1988Jan 198921.4%+12.6%+15845.9%
Dec 1989Feb 19916050.5%-19.1%+14061.4%
Sep 1994Feb 1995198.9%+43.5%+5742.6%
Feb 1995May 199596.8%+46.2%+5202.2%
Aug 1995Aug 199511.1%+29.9%+4854.4%
Nov 1997Nov 1997123.4%+234.9%+4850.3%
Sep 1999Mar 20002521.2%+74.0%+2000.2%
May 2000May 200022.4%+139.8%+1769.8%
Jun 2000Jun 200012.0%+123.7%+1737.9%
Jun 2006Jul 2006511.4%-9.6%+232.4%
Aug 2006Nov 2006146.9%-17.4%+238.6%
Feb 2007Dec 201019790.5%-60.8%+201.0%
Aug 2011Oct 2011910.9%+123.0%+857.8%
Feb 2016Feb 201632.2%+14.6%+234.3%
Sep 2016Nov 201673.6%+25.1%+211.6%
Nov 2016Dec 201611.9%+51.9%+213.7%
Dec 2016Dec 201610.8%+53.4%+209.7%
Sep 2018Mar 20192620.7%+17.6%+176.1%
Jun 2019Aug 201965.6%+22.5%+165.4%
Mar 2020May 20201034.5%+94.5%+180.5%
Jun 2022Jun 202217.4%+88.9%+93.0%
Mar 2025Jul 2025166.8%N/A+4.5%
Dec 2025Jan 202639.9%N/A+6.1%
Jan 2026Ongoing3+6.0%Ongoing+2.4%
Average19+38.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02