LE
Lands' End, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Apparel Retail Investor Relations →
Lands' End, Inc. (LE) closed at $12.44 as of 2026-06-19, trading 8.8% above its 200-week moving average of $11.44. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 8.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 45, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 591 weeks of data, LE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 46 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -24.3%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $382 million, LE is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 13.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 94.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.3% over the past three years. LE passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 11.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LE would have grown to $34, compared to $429 for the S&P 500. LE has returned -9.0% annualized vs 13.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying LE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -22.3% after 12 months (median -29.0%), compared to +3.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 14% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -30.0% vs +20.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices LE would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where LE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-01-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $9.77 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $11.66 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $14.46 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $19.01 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $27.75 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LE has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +-24.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2015 | Jun 2018 | 172 | 55.2% | -36.2% | -66.1% |
| Sep 2018 | Dec 2019 | 67 | 56.7% | -43.7% | -37.9% |
| Dec 2019 | Oct 2020 | 42 | 74.3% | +40.1% | -19.2% |
| Dec 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 0.6% | -55.8% | -32.8% |
| Jan 2022 | Jul 2024 | 130 | 60.0% | -53.6% | -27.3% |
| Jul 2024 | Sep 2024 | 7 | 17.6% | -27.4% | -21.7% |
| Nov 2024 | Jul 2025 | 35 | 38.0% | +6.6% | -19.2% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 4.9% | N/A | +7.9% |
| Apr 2026 | May 2026 | 6 | 5.5% | N/A | +14.4% |
| Jun 2026 | Jun 2026 | 1 | 7.1% | N/A | +16.7% |
| Average | 46 | — | +-24.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LE below its 200-week moving average?
No. Lands' End, Inc. (LE) is currently 8.8% above its 200-week moving average of $11.44. It would need to fall to $11.44 to cross below the line.
What is LE's 200-week moving average price?
Lands' End, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $11.44 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LE drops below its 200-week moving average?
LE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -24.3%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 46 weeks on average.
Is LE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LE as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 45. Free cash flow yield is 13.8%. Return on equity is 94.2%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 11.4 years, $100 invested in LE would have grown to $34, compared to $429 for the S&P 500. That's -9.0% annualized vs 13.6% for the index. LE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19