LCII
LCI Industries Consumer Cyclical - Recreational Vehicles Investor Relations →
LCI Industries (LCII) closed at $91.92 as of 2026-06-19, trading 9.8% below its 200-week moving average of $101.93. This places LCII in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -8.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 22, LCII is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.72 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2094 weeks of data, LCII has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LCII at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.8%.
With a market cap of $2.2 billion, LCII is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.7%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 14.7%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LCII would have grown to $5102, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.5% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming LCII as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -16.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LCII vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LCII Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying LCII when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.7% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +15.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.5% vs +36.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LCII crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices LCII would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where LCII's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $97.53 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $109.87 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $125.77 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $147.06 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $177.02 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LCII's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LCII has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +5.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1986 | Oct 1991 | 286 | 74.1% | -33.3% | +8147.4% |
| Aug 1999 | Dec 2001 | 124 | 51.5% | -34.8% | +2589.4% |
| Dec 2007 | Feb 2008 | 8 | 18.1% | -51.8% | +505.7% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2010 | 102 | 76.8% | -67.8% | +484.0% |
| Mar 2010 | Apr 2010 | 3 | 4.8% | +10.8% | +584.8% |
| May 2010 | Dec 2010 | 31 | 16.0% | +25.2% | +651.0% |
| Aug 2011 | Sep 2011 | 6 | 6.5% | +54.7% | +675.2% |
| Oct 2018 | Jan 2019 | 15 | 25.8% | +14.6% | +48.1% |
| Jan 2019 | Apr 2019 | 10 | 11.9% | +37.2% | +46.2% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2.8% | +22.8% | +41.9% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 4 | 6.3% | +52.1% | +36.1% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 11 | 37.5% | +50.7% | +25.8% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 4 | 7.2% | +5.5% | +7.4% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 0.3% | +20.4% | +3.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 19 | 15.0% | +18.9% | +3.9% |
| Mar 2023 | Apr 2023 | 5 | 6.1% | +13.4% | N/A |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 3.5% | +12.8% | -1.6% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 8 | 5.9% | +14.5% | -4.4% |
| Mar 2024 | Mar 2024 | 1 | 3.6% | -15.0% | -8.2% |
| Apr 2024 | Aug 2024 | 19 | 12.8% | -26.0% | -7.4% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 1.2% | -0.7% | -11.3% |
| Oct 2024 | Nov 2024 | 2 | 1.2% | -14.0% | -11.5% |
| Dec 2024 | Aug 2025 | 35 | 28.7% | +23.7% | -6.3% |
| Sep 2025 | Oct 2025 | 7 | 16.9% | N/A | -5.7% |
| Jun 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 9.8% | Ongoing | -2.5% |
| Average | 28 | — | +5.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LCII below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, LCI Industries (LCII) is trading 9.8% below its 200-week moving average of $101.93. The current price is $91.92.
What is LCII's 200-week moving average price?
LCI Industries's 200-week moving average is $101.93 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LCII drops below its 200-week moving average?
LCII has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +5.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is LCII a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LCII as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 22 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 5.7%. Return on equity is 14.7%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LCII compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in LCII would have grown to $5102, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 12.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. LCII has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LCII pay a dividend?
Yes. LCI Industries currently pays a dividend yield of 496.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19