LCII
LCI Industries Consumer Cyclical - Recreational Vehicles Investor Relations →
LCI Industries (LCII) closed at $102.36 as of 2026-07-31, trading 0.2% above its 200-week moving average of $102.19. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 1.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 36, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, up-weeks have carried more volume than down-weeks (1.76 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When trading picks up, it's more often on days the price is rising — buyers are showing more interest than sellers.
Over the past 2100 weeks of data, LCII has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LCII at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.8%.
With a market cap of $2.5 billion, LCII is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 14.7%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LCII would have grown to $5681, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.8% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming LCII as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -16.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LCII vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LCII Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying LCII when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.7% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +15.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.6% vs +35.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LCII crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices LCII would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where LCII's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $89.95 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $102.87 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $120.13 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $144.34 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $180.78 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LCII's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LCII has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +5.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1986 | Oct 1991 | 286 | 74.1% | -33.3% | +9084.1% |
| Aug 1999 | Dec 2001 | 124 | 51.5% | -34.8% | +2894.8% |
| Dec 2007 | Feb 2008 | 8 | 18.1% | -51.8% | +574.5% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2010 | 102 | 76.8% | -67.8% | +550.3% |
| Mar 2010 | Apr 2010 | 3 | 4.8% | +10.8% | +662.6% |
| May 2010 | Dec 2010 | 31 | 16.0% | +25.2% | +736.3% |
| Aug 2011 | Sep 2011 | 6 | 6.6% | +54.7% | +763.2% |
| Oct 2018 | Jan 2019 | 15 | 25.8% | +14.6% | +64.9% |
| Jan 2019 | Apr 2019 | 10 | 11.9% | +37.2% | +62.8% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2.8% | +22.8% | +58.0% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 4 | 6.4% | +52.1% | +51.6% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 11 | 37.5% | +49.7% | +39.2% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 4 | 7.3% | +5.5% | +19.6% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 0.4% | +20.4% | +14.8% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 19 | 15.0% | +18.9% | +15.7% |
| Mar 2023 | Apr 2023 | 5 | 6.1% | +13.4% | +10.3% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 3.6% | +12.8% | +9.6% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 8 | 5.9% | +14.5% | +6.4% |
| Mar 2024 | Mar 2024 | 1 | 3.6% | -15.0% | +2.2% |
| Apr 2024 | Aug 2024 | 19 | 12.9% | -26.0% | +3.2% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 1.3% | -0.7% | -1.2% |
| Oct 2024 | Nov 2024 | 2 | 1.2% | -14.0% | -1.5% |
| Dec 2024 | Aug 2025 | 35 | 28.7% | +23.7% | +4.4% |
| Sep 2025 | Oct 2025 | 7 | 17.0% | N/A | +5.1% |
| Jun 2026 | Jul 2026 | 6 | 9.9% | N/A | +8.6% |
| Average | 28 | — | +5.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LCII below its 200-week moving average?
No. LCI Industries (LCII) is currently 0.2% above its 200-week moving average of $102.19. It would need to fall to $102.19 to cross below the line.
What is LCII's 200-week moving average price?
LCI Industries's 200-week moving average is $102.19 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LCII drops below its 200-week moving average?
LCII has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +5.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is LCII a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LCII as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 36. Free cash flow yield is 5.1%. Return on equity is 14.7%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LCII compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in LCII would have grown to $5681, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 12.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. LCII has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LCII pay a dividend?
Yes. LCI Industries currently pays a dividend yield of 448.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31