LCID
Lucid Group Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Electric Vehicles Investor Relations →
Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) closed at $4.09 as of 2026-09-18, trading 88.3% below its 200-week moving average of $34.97. This places LCID in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -88.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 44, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, up-weeks have carried more volume than down-weeks (2.07 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When trading picks up, it's more often on days the price is rising — buyers are showing more interest than sellers.
Over the past 265 weeks of data, LCID has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 79 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -41.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $1612 million, LCID is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -126.0%. The stock trades at -1.5x book value.
Share count has increased 79.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 5.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LCID would have grown to $2, compared to $181 for the S&P 500. LCID has returned -52.7% annualized vs 12.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LCID vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LCID Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying LCID when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -46.0% after 12 months (median -56.0%), compared to -5.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -79.0% vs +16.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LCID crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LCID's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LCID has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +-41.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | 0.7% | -22.5% | -97.9% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 2 | 7.2% | -60.5% | -98.2% |
| Apr 2022 | Ongoing | 233+ | 88.7% | Ongoing | -98.1% |
| Average | 79 | — | +-41.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LCID below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) is trading 88.3% below its 200-week moving average of $34.97. The current price is $4.09.
What is LCID's 200-week moving average price?
Lucid Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $34.97 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LCID drops below its 200-week moving average?
LCID has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -41.5%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 79 weeks on average.
Is LCID a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LCID as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 44. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -126.0%. Price-to-book is -1.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LCID compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 5.2 years, $100 invested in LCID would have grown to $2, compared to $181 for the S&P 500. That's -52.7% annualized vs 12.2% for the index. LCID has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18