LCID
Lucid Group Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Electric Vehicles Investor Relations →
Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) closed at $10.86 as of 2026-02-02, trading 82.1% below its 200-week moving average of $60.57. This places LCID in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -82.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 21, LCID is in oversold territory.
Over the past 233 weeks of data, LCID has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 68 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -41.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $3.5 billion, LCID is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -61.1%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Share count has increased 84.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 4.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LCID would have grown to $6, compared to $163 for the S&P 500. LCID has returned -46.8% annualized vs 11.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: LCID vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LCID Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying LCID when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -46.0% after 12 months (median -56.0%), compared to -5.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -79.0% vs +16.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LCID crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
LCID has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +-41.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | 0.7% | -22.5% | -94.4% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 2 | 7.2% | -60.5% | -95.2% |
| Apr 2022 | Ongoing | 201+ | 86.1% | Ongoing | -95.0% |
| Average | 68 | — | +-41.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02