LBRT
Liberty Energy Inc. Energy - Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Investor Relations →
Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) closed at $18.71 as of 2026-07-31, trading 5.2% above its 200-week moving average of $17.79. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -2.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 15, LBRT is in oversold territory.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.2x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 398 weeks of data, LBRT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 23 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LBRT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.0%.
With a market cap of $3.1 billion, LBRT is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 6.1%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 7.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LBRT would have grown to $150, compared to $334 for the S&P 500. LBRT has returned 5.4% annualized vs 17.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -41.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LBRT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LBRT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying LBRT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +47.0% after 12 months (median +32.0%), compared to +7.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +48.0% vs +21.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LBRT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. LBRT currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LBRT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LBRT has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +27.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2018 | Mar 2021 | 115 | 83.7% | -17.3% | +54.5% |
| Mar 2021 | May 2021 | 7 | 19.5% | +19.4% | +72.1% |
| Jul 2021 | Sep 2021 | 11 | 24.6% | -1.0% | +70.9% |
| Nov 2021 | Jan 2022 | 12 | 27.9% | +46.8% | +67.6% |
| Feb 2022 | Feb 2022 | 3 | 4.3% | +28.6% | +65.1% |
| Jul 2022 | Jul 2022 | 1 | 0.8% | +31.6% | +72.7% |
| Mar 2025 | Oct 2025 | 33 | 32.6% | +80.7% | +26.5% |
| Jul 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 2.2% | Ongoing | +7.8% |
| Average | 23 | — | +27.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LBRT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) is currently 5.2% above its 200-week moving average of $17.79. It would need to fall to $17.79 to cross below the line.
What is LBRT's 200-week moving average price?
Liberty Energy Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $17.79 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LBRT drops below its 200-week moving average?
LBRT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +27.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 23 weeks on average.
Is LBRT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LBRT as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 15 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 6.1%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LBRT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 7.7 years, $100 invested in LBRT would have grown to $150, compared to $334 for the S&P 500. That's 5.4% annualized vs 17.0% for the index. LBRT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LBRT pay a dividend?
Yes. Liberty Energy Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 192.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31