LB
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LandBridge Company LLC (LB) closed at $77.52 as of 2026-07-31, trading 28.0% above its 200-week moving average of $60.56. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 26.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.20 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 61 weeks of data, LB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +40.2%.
With a market cap of $6.0 billion, LB is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.0%. Return on equity stands at 10.5%. The stock trades at 6.3x book value.
Share count has increased 92.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 1.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LB would have grown to $117, compared to $122 for the S&P 500. LB has returned 14.2% annualized vs 18.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 92.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying LB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +41.0% after 12 months (median +41.0%), compared to +19.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices LB would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where LB's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $57.34 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $67.12 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $80.92 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $101.88 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $137.47 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LB's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LB has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +40.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2025 | Oct 2025 | 14 | 15.5% | +40.2% | +39.9% |
| Nov 2025 | Jan 2026 | 8 | 16.1% | N/A | +35.7% |
| Jan 2026 | Feb 2026 | 2 | 1.8% | N/A | +35.3% |
| Average | 8 | — | +40.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LB below its 200-week moving average?
No. LandBridge Company LLC (LB) is currently 28.0% above its 200-week moving average of $60.56. It would need to fall to $60.56 to cross below the line.
What is LB's 200-week moving average price?
LandBridge Company LLC's 200-week moving average is $60.56 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LB drops below its 200-week moving average?
LB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +40.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 8 weeks on average.
Is LB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LB as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 60. Free cash flow yield is 2.0%. Return on equity is 10.5%. Price-to-book is 6.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 1.2 years, $100 invested in LB would have grown to $117, compared to $122 for the S&P 500. That's 14.2% annualized vs 18.8% for the index. LB has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LB pay a dividend?
Yes. LandBridge Company LLC currently pays a dividend yield of 58.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31