LAND

Gladstone Land Corporation Real Estate - REIT - Specialty Investor Relations →

YES
30.2% BELOW
↓ Approaching Was -26.9% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $11.62
14-Week RSI 19 📉
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.3x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.91

Gladstone Land Corporation (LAND) closed at $8.11 as of 2026-07-31, trading 30.2% below its 200-week moving average of $11.62. This places LAND in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -26.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 19, LAND is in oversold territory.

Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 656 weeks of data, LAND has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 46 weeks. Historically, investors who bought LAND at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.8%.

With a market cap of $350 million, LAND is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 13.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -0.9%. The stock trades at 0.5x book value.

Share count has increased 8.5% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.

Over the past 12.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LAND would have grown to $100, compared to $518 for the S&P 500. LAND has returned -0.0% annualized vs 14.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: LAND vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After LAND Crosses Below the Line?

Across 7 historical episodes, buying LAND when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.3% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +26.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 57% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.7% vs +44.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LAND crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices LAND would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +2.11σ
Current FCF Yield 1.67%
Baseline Yield 1.42%
Historical σ 0.09pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where LAND's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-06.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$8.70Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$9.18Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$9.72Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$10.33Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$11.01Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 26 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

12 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from LAND's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

2 stacked signals: yield, value_vs_history · earnings quality deteriorating
Yield Dislocation +1.57σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.98σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +2.3pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +8.8pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+31.6pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

LAND has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +15.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 2014Jun 201612936.4%-26.2%-8.0%
Jul 2016Jul 201611.1%+8.7%+9.8%
Sep 2016Nov 201698.8%+20.5%+8.9%
Nov 2016Dec 201632.4%+31.5%+11.5%
Mar 2020Mar 202026.2%+79.0%-1.5%
Dec 2022Jan 202310.0%-18.5%-47.6%
Feb 2023Ongoing180+47.3%Ongoing-45.0%
Average46+15.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is LAND below its 200-week moving average?

Yes. As of 2026-07-31, Gladstone Land Corporation (LAND) is trading 30.2% below its 200-week moving average of $11.62. The current price is $8.11.

What is LAND's 200-week moving average price?

Gladstone Land Corporation's 200-week moving average is $11.62 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when LAND drops below its 200-week moving average?

LAND has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +15.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 46 weeks on average.

Is LAND a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about LAND as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 19 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 13.1%. Return on equity is -0.9%. Price-to-book is 0.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does LAND compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 12.6 years, $100 invested in LAND would have grown to $100, compared to $518 for the S&P 500. That's -0.0% annualized vs 14.0% for the index. LAND has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does LAND pay a dividend?

Yes. Gladstone Land Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 691.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-07-31