LADR
Ladder Capital Corp Real Estate - REIT - Mortgage Investor Relations →
Ladder Capital Corp (LADR) closed at $9.43 as of 2026-09-18, trading 1.6% above its 200-week moving average of $9.28. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 3.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 39, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.05 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 610 weeks of data, LADR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -1.1%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $1196 million, LADR is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 3.6%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
Over the past 11.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in LADR would have grown to $144, compared to $464 for the S&P 500. LADR has returned 3.2% annualized vs 13.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -6.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: LADR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After LADR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying LADR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +16.6% after 12 months (median +2.0%), compared to +7.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.8% vs +28.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment LADR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices LADR would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where LADR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-22.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $9.41 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $9.77 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $10.15 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $10.56 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $11.01 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | $0.24 | $0.24 | +1.8% |
| 2026-04-23 | $0.22 | $0.22 | -0.7% |
| 2026-02-05 | $0.24 | $0.17 | -28.3% |
| 2025-10-23 | $0.23 | $0.25 | +8.7% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from LADR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
LADR has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +-1.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2015 | Jan 2015 | 2 | 0.6% | -35.6% | +46.4% |
| Feb 2015 | Mar 2015 | 3 | 2.7% | -33.9% | +47.4% |
| Mar 2015 | Jun 2015 | 11 | 5.3% | -23.6% | +47.9% |
| Jun 2015 | Nov 2016 | 71 | 32.4% | -15.6% | +54.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | 52 | 73.8% | +13.2% | +38.3% |
| Apr 2021 | Apr 2021 | 1 | 0.4% | +7.3% | +25.3% |
| May 2021 | May 2021 | 3 | 2.3% | +3.8% | +25.1% |
| Jun 2021 | Sep 2021 | 15 | 7.3% | -8.3% | +24.9% |
| Nov 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | 0.1% | +4.5% | +22.0% |
| Dec 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 0.0% | -5.7% | +21.8% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 1 | 0.4% | +6.4% | +21.7% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 2.4% | -3.9% | +24.1% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 6 | 11.0% | +5.7% | +24.9% |
| Aug 2022 | Sep 2022 | 1 | 0.5% | +11.1% | +22.7% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 5 | 15.6% | +12.1% | +28.7% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 3 | 4.0% | +23.9% | +29.2% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 12 | 11.3% | +20.6% | +28.4% |
| Average | 11 | — | +-1.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LADR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Ladder Capital Corp (LADR) is currently 1.6% above its 200-week moving average of $9.28. It would need to fall to $9.28 to cross below the line.
What is LADR's 200-week moving average price?
Ladder Capital Corp's 200-week moving average is $9.28 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when LADR drops below its 200-week moving average?
LADR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -1.1%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 11 weeks on average.
Is LADR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about LADR as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 39. Return on equity is 3.6%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does LADR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 11.8 years, $100 invested in LADR would have grown to $144, compared to $464 for the S&P 500. That's 3.2% annualized vs 13.9% for the index. LADR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does LADR pay a dividend?
Yes. Ladder Capital Corp currently pays a dividend yield of 976.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18