L
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Loews Corporation (L) closed at $107.77 as of 2026-09-18, trading 30.7% above its 200-week moving average of $82.44. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 32.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.2x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 2378 weeks of data, L has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought L at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.8%.
With a market cap of $22.0 billion, L is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.7%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 9.3%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 12.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in L would have grown to $1492, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. L has returned 8.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 2 open-market purchases totaling $1,050,900.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 0.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: L vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After L Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying L when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +4.6% after 12 months (median +1.0%), compared to +8.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 56% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +25.6% vs +18.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment L crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices L would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where L's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-02.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $106.47 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $110.77 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $115.44 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $120.52 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $126.06 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-10 | $0.73 | $1.11 | +52.5% |
| 2019-10-28 | $0.68 | $0.22 | -67.5% |
| 2019-08-05 | $0.75 | $0.91 | +22.4% |
| 2019-04-29 | $0.96 | $1.15 | +20.2% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from L's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
L has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +14.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1981 | Sep 1981 | 2 | 3.8% | +41.8% | +16369.8% |
| Jan 1982 | Feb 1982 | 5 | 3.9% | +80.9% | +16319.9% |
| Aug 1982 | Aug 1982 | 1 | 2.7% | +80.3% | +16344.8% |
| Oct 1990 | Nov 1990 | 4 | 10.2% | +29.7% | +2028.1% |
| Feb 1993 | Mar 1995 | 109 | 14.4% | -2.3% | +1520.9% |
| Jan 1999 | Sep 2000 | 85 | 52.9% | -32.9% | +832.6% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 3 | 4.6% | +20.9% | +846.8% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 1.4% | +11.3% | +808.8% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 2.1% | +9.3% | +769.3% |
| Sep 2002 | Dec 2002 | 14 | 10.4% | -4.1% | +776.3% |
| Jan 2003 | May 2003 | 16 | 12.9% | +23.6% | +749.4% |
| Aug 2003 | Dec 2003 | 19 | 14.4% | +27.9% | +768.8% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2010 | 104 | 52.0% | -5.5% | +231.8% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 1 | 0.3% | -3.9% | +210.7% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 9 | 5.0% | +12.5% | +220.7% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 2 | 2.9% | -9.9% | +181.2% |
| Nov 2014 | Feb 2015 | 11 | 8.4% | -8.8% | +173.4% |
| Feb 2015 | Nov 2016 | 89 | 15.9% | -10.1% | +177.2% |
| Feb 2020 | Jan 2021 | 45 | 36.9% | +5.5% | +142.3% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 1.8% | +30.6% | +142.9% |
| Average | 26 | — | +14.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is L below its 200-week moving average?
No. Loews Corporation (L) is currently 30.7% above its 200-week moving average of $82.44. It would need to fall to $82.44 to cross below the line.
What is L's 200-week moving average price?
Loews Corporation's 200-week moving average is $82.44 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when L drops below its 200-week moving average?
L has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.
Is L a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about L as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow yield is 5.7%. Return on equity is 9.3%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does L compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in L would have grown to $1492, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 8.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. L has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does L pay a dividend?
Yes. Loews Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 23.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18