KW
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. Real Estate - Real Estate Services Investor Relations →
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. (KW) closed at $9.93 as of 2026-02-02, trading 9.5% below its 200-week moving average of $10.97. This places KW in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -10.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 84, KW is in overbought territory.
Over the past 900 weeks of data, KW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.5%.
With a market cap of $1369 million, KW is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.5%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 0.6%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 17.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KW would have grown to $194, compared to $1054 for the S&P 500. KW has returned 3.9% annualized vs 14.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: KW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying KW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.6% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +20.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 53% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +11.2% vs +35.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
KW has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +8.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2008 | Dec 2008 | 7 | 1.9% | +9.0% | +93.0% |
| Nov 2009 | Feb 2010 | 11 | 4.7% | +9.3% | +91.7% |
| Jul 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 0.3% | +30.0% | +84.1% |
| Dec 2010 | Dec 2010 | 2 | 1.9% | +14.4% | +84.1% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 1 | 3.0% | +9.7% | -17.0% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 4 | 20.5% | +22.0% | -8.8% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 3 | 2.8% | +1.4% | -20.0% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 7 | 12.4% | +1.3% | -19.3% |
| Oct 2016 | Oct 2016 | 3 | 3.1% | -3.5% | -22.8% |
| Nov 2016 | Feb 2017 | 12 | 6.7% | -2.7% | -22.5% |
| Mar 2017 | Mar 2017 | 3 | 2.8% | -15.3% | -25.8% |
| Apr 2017 | Jun 2018 | 60 | 22.0% | -12.9% | -28.0% |
| Oct 2018 | Jan 2019 | 16 | 10.5% | +18.6% | -23.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Dec 2020 | 41 | 34.5% | +29.3% | -17.7% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 0.5% | +34.4% | -23.2% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 22 | 18.4% | -8.5% | -31.7% |
| Feb 2023 | Ongoing | 155+ | 54.2% | Ongoing | -29.1% |
| Average | 20 | — | +8.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02