KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc. Industrials - Defense Investor Relations →
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc. (KTOS) closed at $84.62 as of 2026-03-20, trading 173.7% above its 200-week moving average of $30.92. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 186.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 54, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.04 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1328 weeks of data, KTOS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 83 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KTOS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.6%.
With a market cap of $15.8 billion, KTOS is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 1.3%. The stock trades at 7.2x book value.
Share count has increased 34.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 25.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KTOS would have grown to $16, compared to $717 for the S&P 500. KTOS has returned -6.9% annualized vs 8.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KTOS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KTOS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying KTOS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +8.5% after 12 months (median -24.0%), compared to +12.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 36% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +83.6% vs +25.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KTOS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
KTOS has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +12.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2000 | Nov 2004 | 216 | 92.6% | -90.2% | -86.2% |
| Feb 2005 | Sep 2013 | 446 | 84.8% | -29.1% | +9.5% |
| Sep 2013 | May 2014 | 35 | 21.2% | -16.3% | +906.2% |
| Jul 2014 | Jun 2015 | 48 | 36.4% | -17.1% | +1014.9% |
| Jun 2015 | Aug 2016 | 58 | 48.6% | -34.7% | +1251.8% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 2 | 4.2% | +111.8% | +1389.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 19.9% | +152.7% | +729.6% |
| Jan 2022 | Mar 2022 | 10 | 14.4% | -43.0% | +357.2% |
| Apr 2022 | Nov 2023 | 84 | 53.2% | -33.6% | +336.0% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 2 | 6.2% | +98.4% | +392.0% |
| Feb 2024 | Apr 2024 | 9 | 6.3% | +40.1% | +368.8% |
| Average | 83 | — | +12.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KTOS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc. (KTOS) is currently 173.7% above its 200-week moving average of $30.92. It would need to fall to $30.92 to cross below the line.
What is KTOS's 200-week moving average price?
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $30.92 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KTOS drops below its 200-week moving average?
KTOS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 83 weeks on average.
Is KTOS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KTOS as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 54. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 1.3%. Price-to-book is 7.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KTOS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 25.5 years, $100 invested in KTOS would have grown to $16, compared to $717 for the S&P 500. That's -6.9% annualized vs 8.0% for the index. KTOS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20