KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc. Industrials - Defense Investor Relations →
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc. (KTOS) closed at $94.41 as of 2026-02-02, trading 228.7% above its 200-week moving average of $28.72. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 263.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1322 weeks of data, KTOS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 83 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KTOS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.6%.
With a market cap of $15.9 billion, KTOS is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 1.2%. The stock trades at 8.0x book value.
Share count has increased 21.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 25.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KTOS would have grown to $18, compared to $761 for the S&P 500. KTOS has returned -6.5% annualized vs 8.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: KTOS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KTOS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying KTOS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +8.5% after 12 months (median -24.0%), compared to +12.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 36% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +87.8% vs +25.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KTOS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
KTOS has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +12.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2000 | Nov 2004 | 216 | 92.6% | -90.2% | -84.6% |
| Feb 2005 | Sep 2013 | 446 | 84.8% | -29.1% | +22.1% |
| Sep 2013 | May 2014 | 35 | 21.2% | -16.3% | +1022.6% |
| Jul 2014 | Jun 2015 | 48 | 36.4% | -17.1% | +1143.9% |
| Jun 2015 | Aug 2016 | 58 | 48.6% | -34.7% | +1408.1% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 2 | 4.2% | +111.8% | +1562.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 19.9% | +152.7% | +825.6% |
| Jan 2022 | Mar 2022 | 10 | 14.4% | -43.0% | +410.0% |
| Apr 2022 | Nov 2023 | 84 | 53.2% | -33.6% | +386.4% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 2 | 6.2% | +98.4% | +448.9% |
| Feb 2024 | Apr 2024 | 9 | 6.3% | +40.1% | +423.0% |
| Average | 83 | — | +12.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02