KTB
Kontoor Brands, Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Apparel Investor Relations →
Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) closed at $66.62 as of 2026-09-11, trading 9.6% above its 200-week moving average of $60.76. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 20.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.33 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 332 weeks of data, KTB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KTB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +82.8%.
With a market cap of $3.6 billion, KTB is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 12.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 49.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 5.9x book value.
Over the past 6.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KTB would have grown to $560, compared to $274 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 30.8% vs 17.0% for the index — confirming KTB as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 98.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KTB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KTB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying KTB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +92.4% after 12 months (median +35.0%), compared to +20.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +110.0% vs +42.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KTB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices KTB would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where KTB's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $69.45 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $76.72 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $85.70 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $97.06 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $111.90 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | $1.04 | $1.06 | +2.1% |
| 2026-05-07 | $1.14 | $1.06 | -7.0% |
| 2026-03-03 | $1.64 | $1.73 | +5.2% |
| 2025-11-03 | $1.40 | $1.44 | +3.2% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from KTB's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
KTB has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +82.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2020 | Oct 2020 | 23 | 56.1% | +263.3% | +353.4% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 5.7% | +15.6% | +115.0% |
| Jun 2022 | Aug 2022 | 8 | 15.0% | +22.8% | +117.6% |
| Aug 2022 | Oct 2022 | 9 | 13.2% | +31.5% | +109.7% |
| Jul 2023 | Jul 2023 | 1 | 2.4% | +80.6% | +98.0% |
| Average | 8 | — | +82.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KTB below its 200-week moving average?
No. Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) is currently 9.6% above its 200-week moving average of $60.76. It would need to fall to $60.76 to cross below the line.
What is KTB's 200-week moving average price?
Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $60.76 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KTB drops below its 200-week moving average?
KTB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +82.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 8 weeks on average.
Is KTB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KTB as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 48. Free cash flow yield is 12.1%. Return on equity is 49.5%. Price-to-book is 5.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KTB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 6.4 years, $100 invested in KTB would have grown to $560, compared to $274 for the S&P 500. That's 30.8% annualized vs 17.0% for the index. KTB has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KTB pay a dividend?
Yes. Kontoor Brands, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 318.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11