KSS
Kohl's Corporation Consumer Discretionary - Department Stores Investor Relations →
Kohl's Corporation (KSS) closed at $19.14 as of 2026-07-31, trading 9.9% above its 200-week moving average of $17.42. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 3.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 64, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.24 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1736 weeks of data, KSS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -13.1%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
Return on equity stands at 7.0%. The stock trades at 0.5x book value.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KSS would have grown to $865, compared to $3077 for the S&P 500. KSS has returned 6.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KSS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KSS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 28 historical episodes, buying KSS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -10.0% after 12 months (median -9.0%), compared to +12.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 41% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +4.9% vs +29.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KSS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices KSS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where KSS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-26.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $10.31 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $11.76 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $13.67 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $16.34 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $20.29 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from KSS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
KSS has crossed below its 200-week MA 29 times with an average 1-year return of +-13.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 1.5% | +0.5% | -28.5% |
| Dec 2002 | Dec 2002 | 1 | 0.1% | -19.6% | -31.6% |
| Jan 2003 | Mar 2003 | 8 | 12.0% | -17.9% | -30.3% |
| Apr 2003 | Jul 2003 | 13 | 13.3% | -21.8% | -31.9% |
| Sep 2003 | Jun 2005 | 90 | 30.7% | -13.9% | -34.9% |
| Jun 2005 | Jun 2005 | 1 | 0.3% | +4.3% | -32.4% |
| Aug 2005 | Mar 2006 | 34 | 18.8% | +8.2% | -31.0% |
| Sep 2007 | Sep 2007 | 1 | 2.1% | -5.4% | -30.6% |
| Oct 2007 | Aug 2009 | 98 | 52.1% | -44.4% | -31.8% |
| Dec 2009 | Dec 2009 | 1 | 0.0% | +0.8% | -29.9% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 7 | 7.7% | -1.8% | -29.1% |
| May 2010 | Sep 2010 | 18 | 14.2% | +6.1% | -27.7% |
| Oct 2010 | Nov 2010 | 1 | 0.3% | +5.2% | -26.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Sep 2011 | 8 | 9.9% | +10.7% | -21.6% |
| Jan 2012 | Jan 2012 | 4 | 2.3% | -6.7% | -21.1% |
| May 2012 | Jul 2012 | 7 | 8.8% | +12.4% | -22.7% |
| Nov 2012 | May 2013 | 24 | 13.9% | +27.3% | -19.4% |
| Aug 2015 | Nov 2016 | 63 | 29.6% | -10.2% | -35.5% |
| Jan 2017 | Nov 2017 | 47 | 24.4% | +38.3% | -24.4% |
| May 2019 | Jul 2019 | 7 | 2.9% | -57.9% | -42.3% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 5 | 8.3% | -52.2% | -42.8% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 1 | 3.6% | -55.5% | -41.3% |
| Nov 2019 | Dec 2019 | 4 | 4.8% | -36.4% | -41.1% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2021 | 56 | 75.6% | -6.9% | -41.1% |
| Oct 2021 | Oct 2021 | 2 | 3.8% | -38.7% | -43.5% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 1 | 1.2% | -30.6% | -44.8% |
| May 2022 | Nov 2025 | 184 | 74.6% | -48.1% | -34.6% |
| Jan 2026 | Jun 2026 | 23 | 34.1% | N/A | +4.6% |
| Jul 2026 | Jul 2026 | 2 | 3.8% | N/A | +13.9% |
| Average | 25 | — | +-13.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KSS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Kohl's Corporation (KSS) is currently 9.9% above its 200-week moving average of $17.42. It would need to fall to $17.42 to cross below the line.
What is KSS's 200-week moving average price?
Kohl's Corporation's 200-week moving average is $17.42 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KSS drops below its 200-week moving average?
KSS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -13.1%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is KSS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KSS as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 64. Return on equity is 7.0%. Price-to-book is 0.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KSS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in KSS would have grown to $865, compared to $3077 for the S&P 500. That's 6.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. KSS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KSS pay a dividend?
Yes. Kohl's Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 256.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31