KRP
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP (KRP) closed at $14.97 as of 2026-07-31, trading 21.4% above its 200-week moving average of $12.33. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 21.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.20 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 447 weeks of data, KRP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KRP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.9%.
With a market cap of $1613 million, KRP is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 12.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 9.3%. The stock trades at 2.8x book value.
Share count has increased 45.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 8.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KRP would have grown to $183, compared to $302 for the S&P 500. KRP has returned 7.3% annualized vs 13.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KRP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KRP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying KRP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +0.8% after 12 months (median -6.0%), compared to +7.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +8.4% vs +30.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KRP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices KRP would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where KRP's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-07.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $13.96 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $14.29 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $14.64 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $15.01 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $15.40 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from KRP's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
KRP has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +4.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2018 | Jan 2018 | 2 | 3.6% | -0.1% | +120.1% |
| Nov 2018 | Feb 2019 | 11 | 23.0% | -8.3% | +97.5% |
| Jun 2019 | Dec 2019 | 26 | 14.1% | -34.4% | +96.7% |
| Jan 2020 | May 2021 | 66 | 71.7% | -35.7% | +105.1% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 4 | 10.7% | +74.0% | +132.7% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 5 | 5.4% | +33.8% | +39.4% |
| Nov 2025 | Jan 2026 | 8 | 9.0% | N/A | +26.7% |
| Average | 17 | — | +4.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KRP below its 200-week moving average?
No. Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP (KRP) is currently 21.4% above its 200-week moving average of $12.33. It would need to fall to $12.33 to cross below the line.
What is KRP's 200-week moving average price?
Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP's 200-week moving average is $12.33 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KRP drops below its 200-week moving average?
KRP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +4.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is KRP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KRP as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 57. Free cash flow yield is 12.8%. Return on equity is 9.3%. Price-to-book is 2.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KRP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 8.6 years, $100 invested in KRP would have grown to $183, compared to $302 for the S&P 500. That's 7.3% annualized vs 13.7% for the index. KRP has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KRP pay a dividend?
Yes. Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP currently pays a dividend yield of 1111.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31