KRG
Kite Realty Group Trust Real Estate - REIT - Retail Investor Relations →
Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG) closed at $25.43 as of 2026-09-18, trading 19.6% above its 200-week moving average of $21.27. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 21.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 30, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.06 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1105 weeks of data, KRG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 57 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -25.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $5.2 billion, KRG is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.9%. Return on equity stands at 10.7%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Over the past 21.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KRG would have grown to $132, compared to $907 for the S&P 500. KRG has returned 1.3% annualized vs 10.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 7.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KRG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KRG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying KRG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -25.0% after 12 months (median -25.0%), compared to +6.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 14% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -22.4% vs +17.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KRG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices KRG would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where KRG's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $24.59 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $26.90 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $29.69 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $33.12 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $37.46 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | $0.10 | $0.36 | +260.2% |
| 2026-04-29 | $0.11 | $0.08 | -24.9% |
| 2026-02-17 | $0.10 | $0.05 | -52.2% |
| 2025-10-29 | $0.07 | $0.05 | -23.1% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from KRG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
KRG has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +-25.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2007 | Dec 2007 | 1 | 1.8% | -65.5% | +23.7% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2012 | 211 | 82.1% | -56.2% | +36.2% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 0.1% | -17.5% | +81.8% |
| Nov 2016 | Jan 2017 | 5 | 4.0% | -13.7% | +83.0% |
| Jan 2017 | Jan 2017 | 1 | 0.6% | -20.9% | +81.6% |
| Feb 2017 | Oct 2019 | 140 | 34.6% | -29.5% | +83.3% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 38 | 54.2% | +25.1% | +112.4% |
| Average | 57 | — | +-25.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KRG below its 200-week moving average?
No. Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG) is currently 19.6% above its 200-week moving average of $21.27. It would need to fall to $21.27 to cross below the line.
What is KRG's 200-week moving average price?
Kite Realty Group Trust's 200-week moving average is $21.27 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KRG drops below its 200-week moving average?
KRG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -25.5%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 57 weeks on average.
Is KRG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KRG as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 30. Free cash flow yield is 2.9%. Return on equity is 10.7%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KRG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 21.2 years, $100 invested in KRG would have grown to $132, compared to $907 for the S&P 500. That's 1.3% annualized vs 10.9% for the index. KRG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KRG pay a dividend?
Yes. Kite Realty Group Trust currently pays a dividend yield of 457.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18