KRC
Kilroy Realty Corporation Real Estate - REIT - Office Investor Relations →
Kilroy Realty Corporation (KRC) closed at $38.82 as of 2026-07-31, trading 21.6% above its 200-week moving average of $31.92. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 23.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 72, KRC is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.13 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1491 weeks of data, KRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KRC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.9%.
With a market cap of $4.6 billion, KRC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 15.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 3.4%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
Over the past 28.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KRC would have grown to $529, compared to $1242 for the S&P 500. KRC has returned 6.0% annualized vs 9.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KRC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KRC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying KRC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.9% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +13.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +27.0% vs +24.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KRC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. KRC currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from KRC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
KRC has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +14.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1998 | Jul 1998 | 4 | 1.3% | +5.5% | +489.4% |
| Jul 1998 | Apr 1999 | 39 | 23.0% | +1.2% | +519.8% |
| Jul 1999 | Aug 1999 | 6 | 1.5% | +27.7% | +512.5% |
| Sep 1999 | Dec 1999 | 15 | 15.4% | +26.3% | +505.6% |
| Jan 2000 | Mar 2000 | 11 | 9.0% | +34.9% | +513.9% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 0.1% | +49.0% | +399.9% |
| Feb 2003 | Feb 2003 | 2 | 2.6% | +74.4% | +390.1% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 1 | 0.7% | +72.1% | +388.4% |
| Dec 2007 | Dec 2010 | 158 | 71.4% | -38.2% | +52.3% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 3 | 4.4% | +53.7% | +118.1% |
| Jan 2016 | Mar 2016 | 6 | 13.6% | +42.8% | +8.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 5.6% | +27.1% | -15.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | 52 | 30.2% | +3.6% | -22.0% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 1.2% | -18.8% | -21.2% |
| Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 2 | 3.3% | -18.0% | -19.5% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 2 | 3.2% | -36.3% | -21.1% |
| May 2022 | Aug 2025 | 169 | 52.2% | -52.9% | -18.4% |
| Feb 2026 | Apr 2026 | 11 | 16.4% | N/A | +26.4% |
| Average | 27 | — | +14.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KRC below its 200-week moving average?
No. Kilroy Realty Corporation (KRC) is currently 21.6% above its 200-week moving average of $31.92. It would need to fall to $31.92 to cross below the line.
What is KRC's 200-week moving average price?
Kilroy Realty Corporation's 200-week moving average is $31.92 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KRC drops below its 200-week moving average?
KRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 27 weeks on average.
Is KRC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KRC as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 72 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 15.8%. Return on equity is 3.4%. Price-to-book is 0.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KRC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 28.6 years, $100 invested in KRC would have grown to $529, compared to $1242 for the S&P 500. That's 6.0% annualized vs 9.2% for the index. KRC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KRC pay a dividend?
Yes. Kilroy Realty Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 546.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31