KRC

Kilroy Realty Corporation Real Estate - REIT - Office Investor Relations →

NO
14.0% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 18.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $32.29
14-Week RSI 80
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 0.9x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.14

Kilroy Realty Corporation (KRC) closed at $36.81 as of 2026-06-19, trading 14.0% above its 200-week moving average of $32.29. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 18.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, KRC is in overbought territory.

Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.14 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1485 weeks of data, KRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KRC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.5%.

With a market cap of $4.3 billion, KRC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 4.4%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.

Over the past 28.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KRC would have grown to $494, compared to $1241 for the S&P 500. KRC has returned 5.8% annualized vs 9.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: KRC vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After KRC Crosses Below the Line?

Across 18 historical episodes, buying KRC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.5% after 12 months (median +19.0%), compared to +13.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.6% vs +21.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KRC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. KRC currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score +1.67σ
Current FCF Yield -3.80%
Baseline Yield -5.05%
Historical σ 0.73pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from KRC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation +0.38σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.01σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -0.1pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +8.0pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+19.3pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

KRC has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +13.5% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jun 1998Jul 199842.8%+5.5%+451.0%
Jul 1998Apr 19993922.9%+1.2%+479.5%
Jul 1999Aug 199931.4%+27.7%+472.6%
Aug 1999Aug 199910.3%+21.1%+466.2%
Sep 1999Dec 19991515.3%+26.3%+466.2%
Jan 2000Apr 2000128.9%+34.9%+474.0%
Feb 2003Feb 200322.5%+74.4%+358.1%
Mar 2003Mar 200310.6%+72.1%+356.6%
Dec 2007Dec 201015871.4%-38.2%+42.4%
Sep 2011Oct 201134.3%+53.7%+103.9%
Feb 2016Mar 2016513.5%+45.3%+7.3%
Dec 2018Jan 201946.2%+27.1%-21.2%
Mar 2020Mar 20215230.2%+3.6%-27.1%
Aug 2021Aug 202111.2%-18.8%-26.3%
Sep 2021Sep 202123.2%-18.0%-24.7%
Jan 2022Jan 202223.2%-36.3%-26.3%
May 2022Aug 202516952.1%-52.9%-23.7%
Feb 2026Apr 20261116.3%N/A+18.2%
Average27+13.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is KRC below its 200-week moving average?

No. Kilroy Realty Corporation (KRC) is currently 14.0% above its 200-week moving average of $32.29. It would need to fall to $32.29 to cross below the line.

What is KRC's 200-week moving average price?

Kilroy Realty Corporation's 200-week moving average is $32.29 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when KRC drops below its 200-week moving average?

KRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 27 weeks on average.

Is KRC a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about KRC as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 80 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 8.0%. Return on equity is 4.4%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does KRC compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 28.5 years, $100 invested in KRC would have grown to $494, compared to $1241 for the S&P 500. That's 5.8% annualized vs 9.2% for the index. KRC has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does KRC pay a dividend?

Yes. Kilroy Realty Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 567.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19