KRC
Kilroy Realty Corporation Real Estate - REIT - Office Investor Relations →
Kilroy Realty Corporation (KRC) closed at $34.23 as of 2026-09-18, trading 6.9% above its 200-week moving average of $32.02. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 9.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 39, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.1x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 1498 weeks of data, KRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. Historically, investors who bought KRC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.9%.
With a market cap of $4.0 billion, KRC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 17.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 3.4%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
Over the past 28.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in KRC would have grown to $466, compared to $1269 for the S&P 500. KRC has returned 5.5% annualized vs 9.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: KRC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After KRC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying KRC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.9% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +13.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +27.0% vs +24.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment KRC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. KRC currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | $0.12 | $0.17 | +41.7% |
| 2026-04-27 | $0.13 | $0.16 | +23.7% |
| 2026-02-09 | $0.28 | $0.24 | -15.4% |
| 2025-10-27 | $0.28 | $0.38 | +36.0% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from KRC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
KRC has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +14.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1998 | Jul 1998 | 4 | 1.3% | +5.5% | +419.7% |
| Jul 1998 | Apr 1999 | 39 | 23.0% | +1.2% | +446.5% |
| Jul 1999 | Aug 1999 | 6 | 1.5% | +27.7% | +440.1% |
| Sep 1999 | Dec 1999 | 15 | 15.4% | +26.3% | +434.0% |
| Jan 2000 | Mar 2000 | 11 | 9.0% | +34.9% | +441.4% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 0.1% | +49.0% | +340.8% |
| Feb 2003 | Feb 2003 | 2 | 2.6% | +74.4% | +332.1% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 1 | 0.7% | +72.1% | +330.7% |
| Dec 2007 | Dec 2010 | 158 | 71.4% | -38.2% | +34.3% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 3 | 4.4% | +53.7% | +92.3% |
| Jan 2016 | Mar 2016 | 6 | 13.6% | +42.8% | -4.0% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 5.6% | +27.1% | -25.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | 52 | 30.2% | +3.6% | -31.2% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 1.2% | -18.8% | -30.5% |
| Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 2 | 3.3% | -18.0% | -29.0% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 2 | 3.2% | -36.3% | -30.5% |
| May 2022 | Aug 2025 | 169 | 52.2% | -52.9% | -28.0% |
| Feb 2026 | Apr 2026 | 11 | 16.4% | N/A | +11.5% |
| Average | 27 | — | +14.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KRC below its 200-week moving average?
No. Kilroy Realty Corporation (KRC) is currently 6.9% above its 200-week moving average of $32.02. It would need to fall to $32.02 to cross below the line.
What is KRC's 200-week moving average price?
Kilroy Realty Corporation's 200-week moving average is $32.02 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when KRC drops below its 200-week moving average?
KRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 27 weeks on average.
Is KRC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about KRC as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 39. Free cash flow yield is 17.9%. Return on equity is 3.4%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does KRC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 28.8 years, $100 invested in KRC would have grown to $466, compared to $1269 for the S&P 500. That's 5.5% annualized vs 9.2% for the index. KRC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does KRC pay a dividend?
Yes. Kilroy Realty Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 631.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18